The results from the 4th quarter of the KState game had me thinking about how often we go for it on 4th down, specifically on our side of the field. That game got away from us, if I remember correctly after a fumble and then turnover on downs. Those happened in rapid succession and led to 10 points, an insurmountable deficit with the time we had left.

Every game has its own flow, and every coach could go back and rethink a decision here and there. I actually really like JM's aggressiveness and the fight that this team has. I think that is going to make the difference positively more times than not. However, I don't think blind acceptance of analytics is always a winning strategy. Mainly because some of the conversions happen in games where the match-ups are different and the team going for it has a real advantage or the benefit of momentum, or the sun is in the other teams eye, or the spiking of the other teams Gatorade is finally taking effect.

Risk management, on the other hand, could eliminate faulty data in the decision making process. It is all centered around the Principle of Large Loss. That's why we choose to buy insurance of any kind. It states that "the downside of a negative income is more relevant than the likelihood of the occurrence of that outcome." Basically...if we go for it and don't make it, are we giving the other team too short of a field? And if they score could it put the game out of reach? Old school game management shouldn't be over-looked when using analytics, in my opinion.

TLDR: Should we really go for it on our side of the field? Analytics isn't fool-proof.

RRO apparently put up this billboard in south ATX. Not sure how I feel about it.

This dude really throwing his family away for the chase of an 8th ring!? Imo, he is the GOAT dumbass.

The family is thinking about going there this December. Need recs on places to stay, food, and things to do in and around there. We normally go to breck/dillon area, but want to switch it up.

Login to view embedded media
Login to view embedded media

Josh was a 4* recruit from Cedar Hill and went into the portal today. Do we take him?

Dr. No was released in theaters.

Login to view embedded media

What kind of people support a man who says white supremacists are "fine people" and calls Mitch McConnell' "China loving wife" "CoCo Chow?" The man was fined multiple times for refusing to rent to black and bro people.

What kind of people support a retarded wife beater that fathers multiple kids out of wedlock and refuses to raise them despite being a millionaire? Who supports a man that puts a gun to his wife's head? Who supports an "anti abortion warrior" who pays for his side piece to get an abortion?

I don't know who supports blatant racists and retarded wife beaters, but if thats the cost of admission to the GOP, count me permanently out.

The early returns on the baseball team is starting to come to fruition. Some notes through the grape vine and what I saw at the scrimmages a week ago.

Dax Dathe, a Juco transfer RHP has been stellar to start camp. My pick to take that Sunday/Midweek starter spot.

Jack Washburn has been as advertised, front of the line, Friday starter guy.

Jack Livingstone, a freshman RHP (No. 484 Perfect Game) has impressed along with Zane Petty (FR RHP No. 306 PG). I expect both to make an impact.

Mason Molina has taken a step in the right direction. Likely will be a good option on Saturdays.

Jeric Curtis & Gage Harrelson have been great to start and the speed is something that has been a massive difference maker for the roster so far.

Ty Coleman is a lot quicker since we last saw. Expect him to be a good veteran, middle of the lineup type.

Hudson White has developed as a defender and I expect him to continue to develop as a hitter. Expecting big things from the All-Conference Freshman of the Year.

Trendan Parish has been rehabbing and seems to be expected to be back for the season. Would be big for the bullpen. Similar story for Brendan Girton as well.

These guys kill me 😂 “It took me six days to recover from Lubbock”. Welcome to my life Dana.

Login to view embedded media

Login to view embedded media
😂😂😂

Just one article from a couple analysts, but good to see people noticing his production this year.

Rankings are based on past success, with best chance for future success in the next 5-10 years.

It's 12:30 p.m. on Wednesday during the middle of the week. Currently a bit of rain coming down here near 82nd and Frankford by the house. Great temperature as well. Fall is in the air.
Now, maybe if it was past 5 p.m. I would be sipping on a All Hands can. They're delicious but I have some work to get done today so sipping on Hawaiian Punch right now lol.

I hope you're all feeling well physically and mentally. Check up on your family members, friends and fellow RRS subscribers. I bet some would love it. So with that being said - let's talk!


@ALL HANDS
www.drinkallhands.com

I have heard about this book for years and finally pulled the trigger. Normally a book that size would take me 3 months to finish. I did so in 6 weeks. Couldn't put it down. What an epic masterpiece. I finished it right around midnight last night.

So for those of you who are fans, I have a couple of questions:

1. I see that there is a series that LM wrote after Lonesome Dove. Are they worth reading and if so, what order do you advise?

2. I stayed away from the internet to avoid spoilers and avoid having my image of the characters altered. Sorry - just a weird personal thing. So should I even bother watching the miniseries? There's no way that 6 hours can do the story any justice. Especially when it's made for network TV. Even worse, I was mortified when I saw that Ricky Schroder was cast as Newt. What a travesty that is.

Fire away!

This is a stat dump for Big 12 QBs.

If you are disturbed by numbers, I've left some quick bullet points below that you can read to obtain the information without hurting your eyes with numbers and spreadsheets.

Some quick impressions:

• No Big 12 team is asking more of their QB than Texas Tech, at least from a production standpoint. The average number of drop backs for a Big 12 QB is around 150 -- Donovan has almost 250. If you combine that with what we, generally, know about Kittley's offense (i.e., a lot is on the QB's plate), it's fair to say that no team is asking more of their QB from a carry-the-load-mentally standpoint (even if we've taken some stuff off his plate the last few weeks).

• Leading the Big 12 in passing isn't something we should necessarily be bragging about (although I understand why a coach would say it in a presser to boost morale, stand up for their guy, etc.) That should be a given considering how much we are dropping back to pass. We seem to be bottom third in the conference in terms of "most effective" passing offense.

• Donovan has been the most or 2nd most turnover prone QB in the conference. That's when you look at actual turnovers (interceptions or fumbles lost) or if you switch to how frequently a play *should have* been a turnover. In a way, that sort of makes sense considering how much is on Donovan's plate and how young he is compared to the other guys on these charts. For example, he's being compared to old guys like Max Duggan, Spencer Sanders, JT Daniels, Adrian Martinez.. or the unique triple option QB at Kansas. Additionally, a lot of Donovan's snaps have been in game states where Tech was behind on the scoreboard, mostly by more than one possession (you take more chances in these situations). In some ways, Donovan *should* look like the most turnover-prone QB on paper. By how much is up for debate.

• Donovan has been the least efficient QB in the Big 12 when it comes to passes thrown 20 or more yards downfield. However, he has also had the least amount of time to throw on these pass attempts. None of that is surprising when compared to the eye test. This is a big issue, IMO. Let's think of the ways to stress a defense: (1) running the ball traditionally, (2) running the ball with the QB (designed or scrambles), (3) throwing short or intermediate passes, and (4) throwing it deep. There are others, sure. But you can put a lot of football yards gained in those 4 boxes. If one of those boxes doesn't exist, it makes it a lot easier to defend the other things. Right now, we're operating without boxes (1) and (4).

• Donovan's been the most pressured Big 12 QB. Also not surprising. What has been surprising is how inefficient Donovan's been at preventing those pressures from turning into a sack. It's average to below average compared to his conference peers.

• About half the Big 12 offenses throw it farther downfield than Tech -- about half throw it shorter downfield. The discrepancy is on play-action passes. Most teams are taking deep shots out of play action sets, while we are throwing it even shorter downfield than we are on traditional dropbacks. That seems odd considering a play-action pass can, at times at least, slow down a pass rush and allow you to throw it farther downfield.

• Donovan has been the most prolific / most productive scrambler of any of the Big 12 QBs. He has not, however, been the most effective in designed runs. Some of that is the product of (1) him being asked to run the ball in short-yardage scenarios and (2) us being less effective at running the ball in general compared to our Big 12 peers. But I would bet that, if you asked our coaches, they would agree that we have not done a great job with Donovan designed runs. I'm not sure who to blame there and there are definitely bigger issues with our offense to correct before allocating resources to making Donovan a more effective runner between the tackles.

*** SHIELD YOUR EYES -- BELOW THIS TEXT ARE NUMBERS ***




Donovan is dropping back to pass a lot when compared to his Big 12 peers. Note that the First Down % above includes scrambles for first downs. A triple-option QB being first is not surprising here. Our passing offense might be generating yards, but that's a product of the number of drop backs. It hasn't been that efficient.



These are both determined by the folks at Pro Football Focus:

"Turnover Worthy Plays - a pass that has a high percentage chance to be intercepted or a poor job of taking care of the ball and fumbling."

"Big Time Throws - a pass with excellent ball location and timing, generally thrown further down the field and/or into a tighter window."


It's not totally fair to Donovan to compare his 7 interceptions to the rest of the conference because of how often he's dropping back to throw. It is fair to compare his interception % to the rest of the league.



This is how far, on average, the WR target is downfield, regardless of the result of the pass. This can be a negative number for passes thrown behind the line of scrimmage.



Max Duggan has a small sample size against, mostly, outmatched opponents. Jalon Daniels is a triple option QB. There is a huge difference between 6th in the conference (Shapen) and 9th (Donovan). Our QB having a lower NFL passer rating than Hunter Dekkers is not ideal.



Not surprised to see Donovan where he is. From a total volume standpoint, he's pressured more than any other QB and it's not even close (Martinez has 100 less dropbacks).


The only QB that's been less effective than Donovan on deep balls is Adrian Martinez, who has also had almost a full second longer to throw. In fact, Donovan's had the least amount of time to throw when compared to all of the Big 12 QBs.








Ryan left it all out on the field in everything he did. In his honor, we bring you Fields of Gold, so that others facing bone cancer can keep on playing. A portion of proceeds from every case sold is donated to The Little Warrior Foundation.

The Little Warrior Foundation's mission is to fund & find a lasting cure for childhood cancer, with a specific focus on Ewing's Sarcoma.

https://shop.summerlandwinebrands.com/Shop/Fields-of-Gold

@Saynotobarefoot

Last season, Jim Knowles’ OSU Defense completely took away our short passing and running game.

Smith’s stat line..
9/29 for 83 yards 2.9 avg, no TDs or INTs, one fumble and a QBR 13.6.. He rushed for -15 yards on 10 carries.

It remains the worst performance of his career, which is saying something..

I expect the same thing from Derek Mason this year. The only chance we have on offense this Saturday will be to be diligent with the running game and hit a couple of deep balls early to make them pay. It will test Smith’s and ZK’s mettle.

I hope and pray, the officials call PIs, because if they’re beat, they will play you tight and maul you.. Also, let’s hope Smith can somehow throw a few quality deep balls, which is one of his weaknesses. He must also, read the end effectively on Zone Reads and burn them with a healthy dose of QB keepers.

I honestly think our defense will keep us in this one, but it could be difficult to watch.

My recommendation.. Start drinking or smoking before the game to numb the pain. If we somehow win, you can re-watch later for the details.

WE WILL BEAT OSU THIS SATURDAY!

Let’s Gooooo!

Login to view embedded media
Login to view embedded media

@johngreenslade
www.bglawtexas.com

The OFFICIAL solar panel installer of RedRaiderSports.com!
www.energyrenovationcenter.com
Why Energy Renovation Center?
Energy Renovation Center is a DFW based solar installation company which prides itself on quality installation and customer service. Let’s give you an answer of “Why ERC” . We pay close attention to detail when it comes to taking care of our clients. Moreover, an excellent customer experience is what we strive for with every install. If something doesn’t go as planned, we always work hard to correct anything that needs attention. Moreover, we take 100% pride in everything we do. That is why we do not outsource, from educating homeowners in the community to designing a custom system and installing it right the first time! Customer satisfaction is guaranteed.
Clayton Summerlin
Energy Renovation Center
TDLR Lic# 35068 | CSLB Lic# 10093262016
E Randol Mill Rd.Ste. 409 Arlington, TX 76011
claytons@energyrenovationcenter.com
EARN $500 FOR EACH FRIEND THAT GOES SOLAR WITH US!
Energy Renovation Center has paid out over $1.2 million to our users! Tell a friend. Get paid!

He will be taking in the sights and sounds of Christopher Cross tomorrow night at the Cactus Theater.

https://www.cactustheater.com/upcom...-40th-anniversary-tour-live-at-cactus-theater

Login to view embedded media

Kansas is the only game I can make the rest of the year so I want the seats filled by Red Raiders.

Section 123, row 23, seats 9&10. 9 is an aisle seat just a few rows up from the stairwell.

Login to view embedded media
I was wondering if we would do this. I think this is the safest option. I get the Batcho hype, but KO has proven he can take on this role. A lineup of Harmon, Walton, Tyson, Fisher, and Obanor gets me excited.

Selling home that one of our kids lived. Great neighborhood and people. This is a perfect home for small family or college kids.

Please pass along to anyone you might know that is looking.

I feel like this is something we could do. Turn the lights off and have the big screen go red for night games and do a bad ass intro song