Putting my predictor to the test this weekend

[culallen]

In last week's prediction thread, I predicted this:

I have a rudimentary little predictor using total points per game (both on offense and defense) as data points and how each team's departure from the national average affects its opponent's score.

My prediction using that is TTU 60-KU 35

FWIW, using today's data points retroactively against our FBS opponents, it would have predicted these scores:

TTU 40-OSU 50
TTU 22-UH 27
TTU 55-ASU 35

As you can see, the points for were quite a bit closer than the points against, but still gave me a pretty respectable prediction. My numbers missed on the TTU-UH game, but they got pretty close to the actual point differential in all the games.

I plugged in the numbers for the WVU game and got this:

TTU 44-WVU 43


Specifically, it's 43.999826 to 43.21697. I'm curious to see how close this prediction is...

 

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