Prior to the season it seems like the general expectation from many was 8+ wins and now wave expectations that we will be closer to 6 what is everyone's definition of a realistic win expectation. I have always thought 8 wins with the bowl game is a good season however that barely puts you in the top half of all FBS teams and not in the top half of P5 teams. Some schools like atm & ut feel they should be perennial 10 win teams. Understandably the jump from 8 wins to 9 wins is a big one but it seems that over a 5 year run to average 8.5 wins would mean successful run
# Wins All FBS P5 Teams
10 Wins 29 of 129 22% 19 of 64 30%
9 Wins 41 of 129 32% 24 of 64 38%
8 Wins 57 of 129 44% 34 of 64 53%
7 Wins 70 of 129 54% 41 of 64 64%
6 Wins 80 of 129 62% 46 of 64 72%
Of the Power 5 + ND the 23 schools that only achieved 6 wins there was Arizona State(6), Boston College(3), Colorado(4), Georgia Tech(3), Illinois(5), Indiana(6), Iowa State(3), Kansas State(6), Kansas(0), Kentucky(5), Maryland(3), Minnesota (6), Missouri(5), Nebraska (6), Oregon State(2), Purdue(2), Rutgers(4), South Carolina(3), Syracuse(4), Texas(5), Vanderbilt(4), Virginia(4), Wake Forest(3)
# Wins All FBS P5 Teams
10 Wins 29 of 129 22% 19 of 64 30%
9 Wins 41 of 129 32% 24 of 64 38%
8 Wins 57 of 129 44% 34 of 64 53%
7 Wins 70 of 129 54% 41 of 64 64%
6 Wins 80 of 129 62% 46 of 64 72%
Of the Power 5 + ND the 23 schools that only achieved 6 wins there was Arizona State(6), Boston College(3), Colorado(4), Georgia Tech(3), Illinois(5), Indiana(6), Iowa State(3), Kansas State(6), Kansas(0), Kentucky(5), Maryland(3), Minnesota (6), Missouri(5), Nebraska (6), Oregon State(2), Purdue(2), Rutgers(4), South Carolina(3), Syracuse(4), Texas(5), Vanderbilt(4), Virginia(4), Wake Forest(3)
