All the close losses made me curious how this year’s point differential against Power 5 teams stacks up with other Tech squads going back to 2010. It should come as no surprise that Tech hasn’t had a positive point differential against P5 competition during a decade when Tech hasn’t finished .500 or better in conference play. Here is the data with and without the Kansas game every year (I felt many years a blowout of KU skewed the overall picture).
2010
-73, 9 games, -8.1/game
(Didn’t play KU)
2011
-150 w/ KU 9 games, -16.7/game
-161 w/o KU 8 games, -20.1/game
2012
-43 w/ KU 10 games, -4.3/game
-50 w/o KU 9 games, -5.6/game
2013
-24 w/ KU 10 games, -2.4/game
-62 w/o KU 9 games, -6.9/game
2014
-140 w/ KU 10 games, -14/game
-153 w/o KU 9 games, -17/game
2015
-44 w/ KU 11 games, -4/game
-54 w/o KU 10 games, -5.4/game
2016
-64 w/KU 10 games, -6.4/game
-100 w/o KU 9 games, -9/game
2017
-18 w/ KU 10 games, -1.8/game
-64 w/o KU 9 games, -7.1/game
2018
-16 w/ KU 10 games, -1.6/game
-48 w/o KU 9 games, -5.3/game
2019
-37 w/ KU 9 games, -4.1/game
-34 w/o KU 8 games, -4.25/game
Conclusions: last year’s team was the best of the decade in terms of overall point differential against P5 competition. Using the data without the KU game, 2018 still has the best point differential at -5.3/game, just edging out the 2015 team at -5.4/game. 2011 and 2014 were some rough seasons.
Since this year’s game against KU was so close, it doesn’t really matter whether you include it or not. Tech is still a hair worse than -4/game no matter how you slice it.
But if they can keep it respectable against Texas, this team could finish with the best P5 point differential of any Tech team this decade if you toss out the (mostly) annual blowouts of KU.
I know, I know. Overall point differential doesn’t matter, W-L is all that matters, no moral victories, sunshine pumping, if my aunt had balls, etc etc. I know. I’m not trying to make anyone feel better. I’m frustrated at the close losses too.
I just thought it was interesting so I’m passing it along.
2010
-73, 9 games, -8.1/game
(Didn’t play KU)
2011
-150 w/ KU 9 games, -16.7/game
-161 w/o KU 8 games, -20.1/game
2012
-43 w/ KU 10 games, -4.3/game
-50 w/o KU 9 games, -5.6/game
2013
-24 w/ KU 10 games, -2.4/game
-62 w/o KU 9 games, -6.9/game
2014
-140 w/ KU 10 games, -14/game
-153 w/o KU 9 games, -17/game
2015
-44 w/ KU 11 games, -4/game
-54 w/o KU 10 games, -5.4/game
2016
-64 w/KU 10 games, -6.4/game
-100 w/o KU 9 games, -9/game
2017
-18 w/ KU 10 games, -1.8/game
-64 w/o KU 9 games, -7.1/game
2018
-16 w/ KU 10 games, -1.6/game
-48 w/o KU 9 games, -5.3/game
2019
-37 w/ KU 9 games, -4.1/game
-34 w/o KU 8 games, -4.25/game
Conclusions: last year’s team was the best of the decade in terms of overall point differential against P5 competition. Using the data without the KU game, 2018 still has the best point differential at -5.3/game, just edging out the 2015 team at -5.4/game. 2011 and 2014 were some rough seasons.
Since this year’s game against KU was so close, it doesn’t really matter whether you include it or not. Tech is still a hair worse than -4/game no matter how you slice it.
But if they can keep it respectable against Texas, this team could finish with the best P5 point differential of any Tech team this decade if you toss out the (mostly) annual blowouts of KU.
I know, I know. Overall point differential doesn’t matter, W-L is all that matters, no moral victories, sunshine pumping, if my aunt had balls, etc etc. I know. I’m not trying to make anyone feel better. I’m frustrated at the close losses too.
I just thought it was interesting so I’m passing it along.