We knew going into the season that Gibbs ran a bend-don't-break style defense that relies on keeping the play in front and forcing turnovers. Yards may be surrendered, but not necessarily at the expense of points. I wanted to see this in a statistical format. This may or may not be of interest to anyone.
Generally, I figure an arbitrary average of around a touchdown per every 100 yards. That's kind of the "Mendoza line" to me.
In game one, we gave up 611 yards and 45 points. Based on my arbitrary line, they should have scored 42.77 points based on yardage alone. They scored 7.36 points per 100 yards, or a touchdown every 95.10 yards. Obviously, we underperformed in that game. This is the only game SHSU has played so far, so we don't know what their normal output would be.
In game two, we gave up 414 yards and 20 points. Again, based on my unscientific line, UTEP should have scored 28.98 points based on yards gained. They scored 4.83 points per 100 yards, or a touchdown every 144.93 yards. Much improvement here. Although UTEP gained quite a few yards, they weren't able to convert those yards into points. For the season, UTEP has scored 33 points on 618 yards. They should have scored 43.26 points. They've actually scored 5.34 points per 100 yards, or a touchdown every 131.09 yards.
So for the year, we have allowed 65 points on 1051 yards. For that amount of yards, our opponents should have scored 73.57 points. They have scored 6.18 points per 100 yards, or a touchdown every 113.27 yards.
Arkansas to this point has scored 60 points on 1005 yards so far this year. They should have scored 70.35. They've scored 5.97 points per 100 yards, or a touchdown every 117.25 yards.
Arkansas has given up 29 points on 522 yards. Their opponents should have scored 36.54. Their opponents scored 5.56 points per 100 yards, or a touchdown every 125.9 yards.
Tech has scored 128 points on 1285 yards. We should have scored 89.95 points. We have scored 8.96 points per 100 yards, or a touchdown every 78.13 yards. Very explosive.
I'm not sure what I want to infer from these numbers yet, but they were interesting to me. And like I said, this may all mean nothing to you, but I am going to keep an eye on these numbers and compile more data to see if there is actually any statistical relevance to the 7 points/100 yards thing. The next post I make with these kind of numbers will be in spreadsheet format so as not to destroy eyes.
I'm curious about your thoughts.
Generally, I figure an arbitrary average of around a touchdown per every 100 yards. That's kind of the "Mendoza line" to me.
In game one, we gave up 611 yards and 45 points. Based on my arbitrary line, they should have scored 42.77 points based on yardage alone. They scored 7.36 points per 100 yards, or a touchdown every 95.10 yards. Obviously, we underperformed in that game. This is the only game SHSU has played so far, so we don't know what their normal output would be.
In game two, we gave up 414 yards and 20 points. Again, based on my unscientific line, UTEP should have scored 28.98 points based on yards gained. They scored 4.83 points per 100 yards, or a touchdown every 144.93 yards. Much improvement here. Although UTEP gained quite a few yards, they weren't able to convert those yards into points. For the season, UTEP has scored 33 points on 618 yards. They should have scored 43.26 points. They've actually scored 5.34 points per 100 yards, or a touchdown every 131.09 yards.
So for the year, we have allowed 65 points on 1051 yards. For that amount of yards, our opponents should have scored 73.57 points. They have scored 6.18 points per 100 yards, or a touchdown every 113.27 yards.
Arkansas to this point has scored 60 points on 1005 yards so far this year. They should have scored 70.35. They've scored 5.97 points per 100 yards, or a touchdown every 117.25 yards.
Arkansas has given up 29 points on 522 yards. Their opponents should have scored 36.54. Their opponents scored 5.56 points per 100 yards, or a touchdown every 125.9 yards.
Tech has scored 128 points on 1285 yards. We should have scored 89.95 points. We have scored 8.96 points per 100 yards, or a touchdown every 78.13 yards. Very explosive.
I'm not sure what I want to infer from these numbers yet, but they were interesting to me. And like I said, this may all mean nothing to you, but I am going to keep an eye on these numbers and compile more data to see if there is actually any statistical relevance to the 7 points/100 yards thing. The next post I make with these kind of numbers will be in spreadsheet format so as not to destroy eyes.
I'm curious about your thoughts.
