Well, I definitely should've bought in to the reverse line movement last weekend. It was a bad sign when it ticked to WVU -3 right before kickoff.
I'm a little surprised there haven't been more tickets placed on our game this week. Memphis/Navy, Indiana/Northwestern, and Syracuse/Boston College have more.
3,000 total bets
Spread tickets 68% OU
Spread $ 69% OU
ML tickets 56% Tech
ML $ 68% Tech
Total tickets 55% Over
Total $ 82% Over
Parlays 86% OU laying the points.
It opened OU -13.5 Sunday night. It has bounced back and forth between -13 & -14 all week, with a public book (Bovada) having it -14 @ -115 price, and book that generally has sharper action (CRIS) having it at 13.5.
Last week, 5dimes had this OU -9.5. Massey formulas have OU by 7. This line is shaded, fellas. And why wouldn't it be? Books knew they would be backing Tech in this spot; they shade for value all the time and are pretty good at it. These numbers are consistent with a 1% bankroll bet for my group, subject to a 1% increase if it reverses and closes at -13.
The total opened at 87 on CRIS, but was quickly adjusted to 83.5, which is where most offshore shops opened. I find the 30% discrepancy between ticket and $ a little odd. But, as usual, books will have another under position in a Tech game. I expect that to be a theme for the foreseeable future.
Prediction:
OU 48
Tech 40
Off topic:
Aggy is the biggest underdog as a top 10 team since 2013 when FSU was -21 against the U. FSU covered that game.
Oregon is 0-8 ATS this year. Cal is receiving 68% of tickets; Oregon 54% of the money. And the line has steamed from Oregon +3 to pick em. It is also the highest total of the season.
Iowa/Wisconsin already has 12k tickets, with Wiscy getting over 80% of the spread $.
Pats opened -7 against the Roethlisberger-less Steelers. They are getting all the money (15k bets), but that line is not budging off -7.
I'm a little surprised there haven't been more tickets placed on our game this week. Memphis/Navy, Indiana/Northwestern, and Syracuse/Boston College have more.
3,000 total bets
Spread tickets 68% OU
Spread $ 69% OU
ML tickets 56% Tech
ML $ 68% Tech
Total tickets 55% Over
Total $ 82% Over
Parlays 86% OU laying the points.
It opened OU -13.5 Sunday night. It has bounced back and forth between -13 & -14 all week, with a public book (Bovada) having it -14 @ -115 price, and book that generally has sharper action (CRIS) having it at 13.5.
Last week, 5dimes had this OU -9.5. Massey formulas have OU by 7. This line is shaded, fellas. And why wouldn't it be? Books knew they would be backing Tech in this spot; they shade for value all the time and are pretty good at it. These numbers are consistent with a 1% bankroll bet for my group, subject to a 1% increase if it reverses and closes at -13.
The total opened at 87 on CRIS, but was quickly adjusted to 83.5, which is where most offshore shops opened. I find the 30% discrepancy between ticket and $ a little odd. But, as usual, books will have another under position in a Tech game. I expect that to be a theme for the foreseeable future.
Prediction:
OU 48
Tech 40
Off topic:
Aggy is the biggest underdog as a top 10 team since 2013 when FSU was -21 against the U. FSU covered that game.
Oregon is 0-8 ATS this year. Cal is receiving 68% of tickets; Oregon 54% of the money. And the line has steamed from Oregon +3 to pick em. It is also the highest total of the season.
Iowa/Wisconsin already has 12k tickets, with Wiscy getting over 80% of the spread $.
Pats opened -7 against the Roethlisberger-less Steelers. They are getting all the money (15k bets), but that line is not budging off -7.
