Update 12:42 p.m. Saturday - There is still the possibility for a lightning delay during the second half. But the better chance for storms is later tonight.
Surprisingly, the forecast guidance hasn't changed much since Thursday. The latest modeling shows a line of thunderstorms closer to Lubbock after 7 p.m. That said, we already had a couple of lightning strikes near Levelland, though that shower/storm has been struggling because it's ahead of the better lift (which generates more widespread rain/storms). Also, storms in Eastern New Mexico are a little more widespread than computers projected. If storms right now trying to form between Hobbs and Carlsbad can hold together (not a certainty), they would get to Lubbock late afternoon.
It's warm and humid, fuel for thunderstorms. It'll stay muggy through the game.
Obviously lightning is the factor for the game. But just to be aware, storms today will be capable of becoming severe, with at least 1" hail and 60mph gusts. The mid-day Storm Prediction Center update has expanded the risk area for severe storms eastward to include Lubbock, though the primed spot for severe weather is just northwest of Lubbock into NE New Mexico.
To sum up: no big change...still a low chance for a storm during the game, storms more likely later tonight. I'll update if we do see a storm popping up and heading this way.
(Well aware a bunch of words that didn't say anything definitive, your continued weather jokes apply, haha)
posted Thursday
Warm afternoon with a chance for a thunderstorm Saturday.
Kickoff temperature in the upper 80s, high around 90 during the game, partly cloudy sky. Wind gusty out of the south 15-20mph.
Right now it looks like some thunderstorms will develop in Eastern New Mexico during the afternoon, then will spread eastward. Chance for a storm at Jones Stadium is about 20% during the afternoon, going up to 40% after 7 p.m. Where storms develop in the area, some hail and strong wind will be possible.
At this point, the game looks OK. I’d be less confident if it were an evening game. I’ll update as new info comes in.
Guns Up!
Surprisingly, the forecast guidance hasn't changed much since Thursday. The latest modeling shows a line of thunderstorms closer to Lubbock after 7 p.m. That said, we already had a couple of lightning strikes near Levelland, though that shower/storm has been struggling because it's ahead of the better lift (which generates more widespread rain/storms). Also, storms in Eastern New Mexico are a little more widespread than computers projected. If storms right now trying to form between Hobbs and Carlsbad can hold together (not a certainty), they would get to Lubbock late afternoon.
It's warm and humid, fuel for thunderstorms. It'll stay muggy through the game.
Obviously lightning is the factor for the game. But just to be aware, storms today will be capable of becoming severe, with at least 1" hail and 60mph gusts. The mid-day Storm Prediction Center update has expanded the risk area for severe storms eastward to include Lubbock, though the primed spot for severe weather is just northwest of Lubbock into NE New Mexico.
To sum up: no big change...still a low chance for a storm during the game, storms more likely later tonight. I'll update if we do see a storm popping up and heading this way.
(Well aware a bunch of words that didn't say anything definitive, your continued weather jokes apply, haha)
posted Thursday
Warm afternoon with a chance for a thunderstorm Saturday.
Kickoff temperature in the upper 80s, high around 90 during the game, partly cloudy sky. Wind gusty out of the south 15-20mph.
Right now it looks like some thunderstorms will develop in Eastern New Mexico during the afternoon, then will spread eastward. Chance for a storm at Jones Stadium is about 20% during the afternoon, going up to 40% after 7 p.m. Where storms develop in the area, some hail and strong wind will be possible.
At this point, the game looks OK. I’d be less confident if it were an evening game. I’ll update as new info comes in.
Guns Up!
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