2,579 tickets
Spread Tix 76% Tech
Spread $ 91% Tech
ML Tix 71% Iowa State
ML $ 63% Iowa State
Total Tix 62% Over
Total $ 51% Over
This opened Tech -3 most offshore spots late Sunday/early Monday, and has since been pushed to 3.5. Nothing odd about this movement, given the overwhelming number of Tech slips. The ML has also moved in our favor (from -160 to -170), despite a lot of ISU bets at the +140 range.
The total opened 76.5-77 range on Monday afternoon. It has now settled at 75-76. Last week, we had the highest opening total of all time — 90. It closed at 87.5, so day-of-the-game bettors cashed their over ticket, while the grinders that took U90 earlier in the week did also. The closing totals for Tech games this season are now: 86.5, 80, 82.5, 78.5, 68, 82, 85.5, 87, 85.5, 87.5. That’s incredible. From 2005-2011 there was only 1 closing total at 80 points or higher. Since 2012 there have now been 29. Overs have gone 16-14 in those games, the majority of which likley involved Tech and/or Baylor.
There isn’t a huge sample size, not a lot of suspicious line movement, and it was expected for Tech & the over to receive the majority of action. Still, always a concern when books have an Iowa State/under position. I had this one marked way before the season as a good opportunity for an emotional-hedge bet against Tech. I'll continue to watch the weather, but definitely expect 1% bankroll plays on Iowa State and the under.
Prediction:
Tech 38
ISU 37
Offtopic:
I show 62% KSU wagers, although 58% of the money is on Baylor, which likley explains the movement from KSU -2.5 to Baylor -1.
OU/WVU has 7k tickets to date, the most on the board by about 3k. Interestingly, the ticket split is 50/50.
Okie Lite/TCU. 70% tickets on a favored team playing as an underdog against unranked team. Add to it that this line has stayed the same/moved slightly in TCU’s favor. Odd.
WSU/Colorado. 70% tickets on the Leech, but it's moving hard towards Colorado.
Spread Tix 76% Tech
Spread $ 91% Tech
ML Tix 71% Iowa State
ML $ 63% Iowa State
Total Tix 62% Over
Total $ 51% Over
This opened Tech -3 most offshore spots late Sunday/early Monday, and has since been pushed to 3.5. Nothing odd about this movement, given the overwhelming number of Tech slips. The ML has also moved in our favor (from -160 to -170), despite a lot of ISU bets at the +140 range.
The total opened 76.5-77 range on Monday afternoon. It has now settled at 75-76. Last week, we had the highest opening total of all time — 90. It closed at 87.5, so day-of-the-game bettors cashed their over ticket, while the grinders that took U90 earlier in the week did also. The closing totals for Tech games this season are now: 86.5, 80, 82.5, 78.5, 68, 82, 85.5, 87, 85.5, 87.5. That’s incredible. From 2005-2011 there was only 1 closing total at 80 points or higher. Since 2012 there have now been 29. Overs have gone 16-14 in those games, the majority of which likley involved Tech and/or Baylor.
There isn’t a huge sample size, not a lot of suspicious line movement, and it was expected for Tech & the over to receive the majority of action. Still, always a concern when books have an Iowa State/under position. I had this one marked way before the season as a good opportunity for an emotional-hedge bet against Tech. I'll continue to watch the weather, but definitely expect 1% bankroll plays on Iowa State and the under.
Prediction:
Tech 38
ISU 37
Offtopic:
I show 62% KSU wagers, although 58% of the money is on Baylor, which likley explains the movement from KSU -2.5 to Baylor -1.
OU/WVU has 7k tickets to date, the most on the board by about 3k. Interestingly, the ticket split is 50/50.
Okie Lite/TCU. 70% tickets on a favored team playing as an underdog against unranked team. Add to it that this line has stayed the same/moved slightly in TCU’s favor. Odd.
WSU/Colorado. 70% tickets on the Leech, but it's moving hard towards Colorado.
