The heavyweight matchup the country deserved but never got!
According to Morning Consult (the most left leaning poster of the entire 2024 cycle) Trump is polling better against Obama than he did against Harris.
In truth, I think it depends on when the election would have happened. 2008 or 2020 Obama beats him handily. This year or 2012? Trump wins imo. Romney needed Florida and Penn and Ohio, and lost them by a couple points. He was an embarrassingly weak candidate too. Obama was very vulnerable that election, but luckily ran against an uninspiring establishment stiff with no movement or ground swell of support whatsoever.
2016 is the real cointoss. Obama is obviously a better candidate than Hilary, but the signs for a rejection of his admin were certainly there prior to the election.
According to Morning Consult (the most left leaning poster of the entire 2024 cycle) Trump is polling better against Obama than he did against Harris.
In truth, I think it depends on when the election would have happened. 2008 or 2020 Obama beats him handily. This year or 2012? Trump wins imo. Romney needed Florida and Penn and Ohio, and lost them by a couple points. He was an embarrassingly weak candidate too. Obama was very vulnerable that election, but luckily ran against an uninspiring establishment stiff with no movement or ground swell of support whatsoever.
2016 is the real cointoss. Obama is obviously a better candidate than Hilary, but the signs for a rejection of his admin were certainly there prior to the election.