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How much worse is the 25 class compared to our other classes? (7/2)

texastechturtle

Red Raider
Gold Member
Mar 24, 2023
3,217
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There's been a perception from some that this class was an obvious failure.... so I have been comparing classes with on3's industry rankings with this class being mostly done outside of 2 players or so (and before flipmas) .

I calculated some things based on on3's industry rating to account for all sites that hopefully better balances how classes are evaluated throughout media

Heres some things i calculated
Tx percentage
Blue chip percentage (greater than 88 on on3 industry equates to 4 star or borderline)
TX top 100 or equivalent for out of state ( someone said somewhere if you get 10 top 100 texas players you got yourself a class)

Here is the last 4 classes (i counted 22 since joey and them played a part)

2025 as of (7/2)

CountPercentage
Total recruits
17​
100%​
Average Nat ranking
809.1765​
Tx percentage
12​
71%​
Average Pos Ranking
155.4706​
3 star percentage
12​
71%​
Average Rating
84.80556​
Blue Chip Percentage (greater than 88)
5​
29%​
Median Rating
86.32​
TX top 100 or equal percentage
7​
41%​
87.26​

2024

CountPercentage
Count
20​
100%​
Average Nat ranking
582.1​
Tx percentage
20​
100%​
Average Pos Ranking
54.15​
3 star percentage
9​
45%​
Average Rating
87.29333333​
Blue Chip Percentage (greater than 88)
11​
55%​
Median Rating
88.435​
TX top 100 or equal percentage
11​
55%​
87.86​

2023

CountPercentage
Count
26​
100%​
Average Nat ranking
749.6923077​
Tx percentage
22​
85%​
Average Pos Ranking
76.53846154​
3 star percentage
17​
65%​
Average Rating
86.11944444​
Blue Chip Percentage (greater than 88)
9​
35%​
Median Rating
87.15​
TX top 100 or equal percentage
10​
38%​
87.58​

2022

CountPercentage
Count
18​
100%​
Average Nat ranking
813.1111​
Tx percentage
14​
78%​
Average Pos Ranking
80.61111​
3 star percentage
14​
78%​
Average Rating
86.26444​
Blue Chip Percentage (greater than 88.1)
4​
22%​
Median Rating
85.9​
TX top 100 or equal percentage
7​
39%​
86.83​


The 2025 class imo seems to be the headed towards how the 2023 class finished up. If they get some flips/bumps they might be able to beat it.

Heres how the class ranks in these metrics compared to our other classes

Tx Percentage rank: last
Blue chip rank: 3rd for now
TX top 100 rank: 2nd
Nat rank: 3rd
Pos rank: last for now
average rank: last for now
median rank: 3rd

The "for nows" i expect to change with rating updates. The midwest lineman should be getting bumped as well as a few of our other players. I think our blue chip rank for this class will get to second with an olineman and lb getting bumped to a 4 star (burns is considered blue chip in my formula).

So how much worse is this class? not worse than 22, about the same as 23 and is out of reach of the 24 class.
We should be pumped for this class like we were for 2023 while also acknowledging that we lost some head to heads partly because of how epic 2024/2023 classes were. The fact we lost that many head to heads and still could beat the 2023 class is a testament to this staffs process..... but i do hate "losing" to rival schools in season or offseason

I think a reasonable goal (not expectation) for this staff is
above 40% blue chip
above 50% top texas 100 or equivalent
as long as we continue to be top 2-3 in recruiting in the big 12 and strive for these goals we should be cooking!

Im planning on updating this again before signing day to see how much the ratings improve.
 
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