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runoff polls
FiveThirtyEight’s averages use all runoff polls conducted since the Nov. 3 general election. We adjust polls for house effects based on how much each poll differs from the polling consensus.
runoff polls
FiveThirtyEight’s averages use all runoff polls conducted since the Nov. 3 general election. We adjust polls for house effects based on how much each poll differs from the polling consensus.
| DATES | POLLSTER | SAMPLE | PERDUE | OSSOFF | LEADER | ADJUSTED LEADER | LOEFFLER | WARNOCK | LEADER | ADJUSTED LEADER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JAN. 2-4 | B/C AtlasIntel | 857 | LV | 47% | 51% | Ossoff +5 | Ossoff +3 | 47% | 51% | Warnock +4 | Warnock +3 |
| JAN. 2-3 | A/B National Research Inc. | 500 | LV | 45% | 46% | Ossoff +1 | Ossoff +4 | 45% | 46% | Warnock +1 | Warnock +4 |
| DEC. 30-JAN. 3 | C/D Targoz Market Research | 713 | LV | 50% | 50% | Tie | Tie | 49% | 51% | Warnock +2 | Warnock +2 |
| DEC. 30-JAN. 3 | University of Nevada Las Vegas Lee Business School | 550 | LV | 49% | 48% | Perdue +1 | Perdue +1 | 49% | 48% | Loeffler +1 | Tie |
| JAN. 3 | B- InsiderAdvantage | 500 | LV | 49% | 49% | Tie | Tie | 49% | 49% | Loeffler +1 | Tie |
| DEC. 25-JAN. 1 | B/C AtlasIntel | 1,680 | LV | 47% | 51% | Ossoff +4 | Ossoff +3 | 47% | 51% | Warnock +4 | Warnock +3 |
| DEC. 29-30 | C Gravis Marketing | 1,011 | LV | 47% | 50% | Ossoff +3 | Ossoff +2 | 47% | 49% | Warnock +2 | Warnock +2 |
| DEC. 28-29 | B/C JMC Analytics | 500 | LV | 45% | 53% | Ossoff +8 | Ossoff +7 | 45% | 54% | Warnock +9 | Warnock +8 |
| DEC. 23-27 | C- Trafalgar Group | 1,022 | LV | 48% | 50% | Ossoff +3 | Ossoff +5 | 49% | 50% | Warnock +1 | Warnock +5 |
| DEC. 21-27 | Open Model Project | 1,405 | LV | 50% | 46% | Perdue +4 | Perdue +2 | 50% | 46% | Loeffler +4 | Loeffler +2 |
| DEC. 18-22 | B/C Mellman Group | 578 | LV | 47% | 50% | Ossoff +3 | Tie | 47% | 50% | Warnock +3 | Tie |
| DEC. 14-22 | Reconnect Research/Probolsky Research | 1,027 | LV | 43% | 42% | Perdue +1 | Perdue +1 | 42% | 43% | Warnock +1 | Warnock +1 |
| DEC. 21-22 | B- InsiderAdvantage | 500 | LV | 49% | 48% | Perdue +2 | Perdue +1 | 47% | 49% | Warnock +1 | Warnock +2 |
| DEC. 16-20 | A SurveyUSA | 600 | LV | 46% | 51% | Ossoff +5 | Ossoff +4 | 45% | 52% | Warnock +7 | Warnock +5 |
| DEC. 14-16 | A- Emerson College | 605 | LV | 51% | 49% | Perdue +2 | Perdue +1 | 51% | 49% | Loeffler +2 | Loeffler +2 |
| DEC. 14-16 | C- Trafalgar Group | 1,064 | LV | 50% | 48% | Perdue +3 | Perdue +1 | 52% | 46% | Loeffler +7 | Loeffler +2 |
| DEC. 10-14 | Wick | 1,500 | LV | 51% | 47% | Perdue +4 | Perdue +3 | 50% | 48% | Loeffler +3 | Loeffler +1 |
| DEC. 14 | B- InsiderAdvantage | 500 | LV | 49% | 48% | Perdue +1 | Perdue +1 | 49% | 48% | Loeffler +1 | Loeffler +1 |
| DEC. 8-14 | B/C RMG Research | 1,417 | LV | 47% | 49% | Ossoff +2 | Ossoff +1 | 48% | 49% | Warnock +1 | Warnock +1 |
| DEC. 8-10 | C- Trafalgar Group | 1,018 | LV | 49% | 49% | Tie | Ossoff +2 | 50% | 47% | Loeffler +3 | Warnock +1 |
| NOV. 30-DEC. 4 | Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates | 1,250 | LV | 46% | 48% | Ossoff +2 | Ossoff +1 | 46% | 47% | Warnock +1 | Warnock +1 |
| DEC. 1-3 | C- Trafalgar Group | 1,083 | LV | 47% | 48% | Ossoff +1 | Ossoff +3 | 50% | 45% | Loeffler +5 | Loeffler +1 |
| NOV. 27-30 | A SurveyUSA | 583 | LV | 48% | 50% | Ossoff +2 | Ossoff +1 | 45% | 52% | Warnock +7 | Warnock +5 |
| NOV. 19-24 | B/C RMG Research | 1,377 | LV | 47% | 48% | Ossoff +1 | Tie | 46% | 48% | Warnock +2 | Warnock +2 |
| NOV. 15-20 | B- Data for Progress | 1,476 | LV | 50% | 48% | Perdue +2 | Perdue +4 | 47% | 50% | Warnock +3 | Tie |
| NOV. 16 | B- InsiderAdvantage | 800 | LV | 49% | 49% | Tie | Tie | 48% | 49% | Warnock +1 | Warnock +1 |
| NOV. 10 | VCreek/AMG | 300 | LV | 50% | 46% | Loeffler +4 | Tie | ||||
| NOV. 8-9 | C- Remington Research Group | 1,450 | LV | 50% | 46% | Perdue +4 | Perdue +3 | 49% | 48% | Loeffler +1 | Tie |
