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Fireable Metric for College Football Coaches (ESPN Article)

TTU Airraid

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Jul 22, 2012
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Below is the criteria they used & the rank of Kliff.

We examined every FBS/I-A coaching tenure since 1970, constructing a model to help determine the likelihood that every current FBS coach will be fired by this offseason.




    • The model's most important factor turned out to be the difference between a program's strength prior to a coach's arrival and its current strength.



    • Other predictors included team record, a team's presence in the rankings, championships and other milestones (e.g. 10-win seasons).



    • Tenure has an impact on the model as well, but in a complicated way. Rarely are coaches fired after a very poor record in their first season, but that same poor record would probably get a coach fired later in his tenure.

Rk
Coach/School Seasons Record % firings, like credentials

18 Kliff Kingsbury, Texas Tech 5th 28-29 31.0%

It's an insider article so I didn't want to post the entire article. But I thought it was interesting. This should cause quite the debate. There are 6, power 5 coaches ahead of kliff in % firings like credentials. I would be interested if they would make the data more recent, say from 1990 forward. I think coaches had a much longer leash before social media.
 
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