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STORY: Stuff I Noticed on Film v. North Carolina State: Part I

<< This got pretty long on me (insert Michael Scott gif), so I’m breaking this into two parts, offense today, D/ST tomorrow.>>



The first drive of this game nearly perfectly sums up the entire game, offensively at least. Each play just a few inches off, but enough to give a really good NC State team the margin they needed to capitalize.

You could just watch Pacino’s Any Given Sunday “inches” speech to get my point.


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I mean, just look at this first play. Great play design with the motion and play action fake that opens up the space for Cleveland to run into (kind of makes you wonder why we didn’t see more of this). This ball HAS to be caught, it’s that simple. Sure, the throw could be better, but Smith has got a linebacker bearing down on him, and the ball hits Cleveland in the hands. Inches.



Second play is counter, a great gap scheme play that is much easier to block for an inexperienced line compared to zone schemes. You can see the incredibly aggressive way that the LBs fly downhill when they see the pullers/mesh, and I’m wondering why this ball is not pulled and thrown into the space vacated by the short side LB… there is no one there. That’s one way you attack this Tony Gibson defense, make them wrong with RPOs. Regardless, this actually ends up blocked pretty well, but Tahj hits the B gap instead of the C gap which results in a loss and a very unlikely to convert third and long. Inches.



Third play, the offensive line does a good job of protecting against this 4-man rush (they did not against Houston) which gives Donovan plenty of time to throw the deep out. A throw that, in my opinion, he throws better than any other route, this is not one of those throws. Instead of putting the ball on the sideline and letting Xavier White run to it, and the first down, the ball is thrown at the receiver and broken up. Three plays, three, relatively, easy potential conversions, zero first downs. Inches.



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To drive home that point, the above clip shows 4 plays that could have extended drives, but, instead, were just off enough to be incredibly frustrating.

First play, another out ball that is misplaced. Bradley must contort his body to make the catch which does not allow him to extend to the first down. Now, Tech is faced with a 4th and 1 and I don’t have to remind you of what happened next.

Next play is a good find by Donovan, except I’m still not sure what happened. Is this a bad throw? Did Loic just fall down? Either way, what should have been a first down, eventually results in a punt.

This next play is tough to watch because it might have gone for six. Tech is running Dart, another gap scheme where everyone blocks down, and the backside tackle pulls around to either kick out or lead. It sets up perfectly with a kick out block for Mills, but right as Rod puts his foot in the ground to cut inside of the block, Mason Tharp is inexplicably planted right in the hole. I can’t tell if he was knocked backwards or looking to pick up another block, but he ended up acting as a 12th man for the Wolfpack. Another possession getting behind the chains and ending in a punt.

As painful as that last one is to watch, this one may be the most gut wrenching considering the situation. Defense made another great stand, time is slowly starting to turn into the enemy, but a score here and we’ve got a game with plenty of time. Looks like Kittley has 4 Verts called, NC State is sitting back, spying Donovan and Tahj, and rushing three. Line does their job; Donovan can step up and create an opening to find Cleveland who has found some space in their zone, and instead of any easy pitch and catch, this turns into another missed opportunity that leads to a punt.

You cannot have that long of a list of “almosts” and expect to beat a team as good as NC State.



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Feels like dog piling at this point, but this clip is three more plays from Smith that just can’t happen. I really like the play design with this first, the fake pitch and pull creates a boot like protection without having to boot. The problem is, even with the time provided, this results in a sack. Besides Donovan’s lack of pocket awareness, it’s troubling that, seemingly, no one was open. Between the rush and Thompson, 6 NC State defenders were occupied behind the line of scrimmage, and we can’t get a single receiver open? That’s a problem that (because we can’t see the routes) goes beyond Donovan.



The next one is the view I wish we had of every play, every game, but alas. Anyway, you can see the development of the coverage here, as well as where Donovan is looking. I’m not really sure what he is expecting to happen considering the coverage and route combination. Counting the deep safety, it’s 4 v 2 on that side of the field. I would like to think the moment he saw that coverage versus the play that was called, he would know he’s going to have to buy some time, but he just keeps looking over there. He obviously doesn’t expect the corner blitz, but I would like to see him start scanning the field when he realizes NC State has the drop 8 called. The broadcast blames Thompson for this, and I’m not sure what Kittley’s thoughts are, but I’m of the opinion dumping it to Thompson is a better corner blitz beater than trying to block him. Thompson sees him coming, and his reaction tells me he was in the right. It’s just going to be hard to be successful on offense with Smith struggling so much with awareness.



The last play is the pick six, again, something that just cannot happen if you want to win. I actually like the play call, because I have zero faith in converting this on the ground. To me, this looks like a miscommunication on a read between Smith and White. Smith reads it as one-high safety, which I assume means White is supposed to run an out. At the snap, the safety attacks downhill so White reads it as “no safety” and runs a post. Pretty impressive play by the DB in hindsight, because if he’s wrong, that’s 6 for Texas Tech. If you pause it at :22, you see the play, that ball needs to be dumped to Price, and I’m not sure Donovan ever even looks his way.



This rewatch left me, somehow, both more frustrated and more optimistic. Frustrated that, despite the mistakes, we were really close to pulling a major upset and a getting McGuire an early signature win. Optimistic that this offense is not miles away from being competent the way it seemed Saturday night. Some fine tuning, adjustments, coaching, and getting a little lucky will go a long way against the Longhorns and the rest of the season.

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RECRUITING: Texas Tech commits and targets tracker: Week Four


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Position Grades for the Offense - Non-Conference Edition (pres. by Fields of Gold)

These are subjective position grades. The grading criteria is a reflection of (1) the collective players' performance that make up each position group, and (2) the expectation that I had for each position group coming into the season. For example, if our OL had been average to above average, they would almost certainly have an A grade.

The Murray State game is almost completely disregarded.

Where am I way wrong? What grades would you give using my criteria (or whatever scale you want to use)?

Quarterbacks

Almost all of the graded snaps are coming from Donovan Smith. This one was more difficult than I thought. My expectations for this group were high. Because I envisioned a healthy Tyler Shough and Donovan Smith being used in situations that fit him perfectly. That hasn't been the case, obviously. Shough -- who apparently won the job by such a wide margin that Kittley said he and McGuire didn't even discuss who would start -- was knocked out after only 18 plays. I'm not really sure we ever get him back. I understand we're saying he will, but the guy had a metal plate put in his upper dorsimus a couple weeks ago. As a result of all that, Donovan has played the meaningful snaps, save for a few against NC State's prevent defense.

Our QBs have a collective passing grade that is second worst in the conference behind K-State. That seems bad.

Donovan & Behren attempted 80 passes beyond the line of scrimmage against UH & NC State. 6 were intercepted. Almost 8% of your non-lateral passes being intercepted is not good. That's so bad it's almost unsustainable.

Donovan & Behren combined for 0 for 13 against NC State & UH in passes that traveled 20 or more yards through the air. We simple have not been able to connect on deep passes, although a few (2?) have drawn pass-interference penalties.

There is strong evidence -- both from watching the games, coaches talking to the media, listening to people close to the program -- that some of the OL issues are a direct result of our QB play. Donovan isn't seeing things quick enough. There's also a few checks at the line of scrimmage he made that McGuire's critiqued (while also mentioning Kittley needs to do a better job). Overall, the mental side of this position has not been a positive.

Donovan won a game against UH with his legs. That's worth something.

With all that said, it should also be noted just how much we are asking of this position right now. By its very nature, Kittley's offense is demanding on QBs. It's also fair to wonder if Kittley needs to adjust some to account for (1) him not having Bailey Zappe doing special things at the line of scrimmage & (2) him not having a 23-year-old Tyler Shough that's taking 3 hours of basket-weaving online. I'm not saying to take away responsibility from Donovan -- I'm only saying that the sheer weight of that responsibility is being considered in this grade.

Not only is the scheme itself demanding, the on-field results dictate even more being put on the QBs' shoulders. Against UH, a 4-man pressure was absolutely blitzing our OL. Against NC State a spread-offense-stopping wizard was either rushing 6 or, on about 75% of snaps, dropping 8 guys into coverage. Those two matchups wouldn't be that big of a deal if we had any consistency running the football with traditional hand-offs. We have not.

So, the result has been Donovan, a young-ish QB, going up against defenses that are dropping 7-8 guys in coverage, while most of the runs he checks into aren't working, despite the light boxes. He's then throwing in obvious passing situations against 8-man coverages or, in the case of UH, with Derek Parish 3 feet up his ass.

I guess what I'm saying is... it's been hard to be the QB at Texas Tech the last 2 games.

That's not to excuse Donovan at all. He's contributing to the problems, for sure.

QB GRADE: C-

Offensive Line

Players Considered: Weston Wright, Caleb Rogers, Landon Peterson, Dennis Wilburn, Monroe Mills, Jacoby Jackson.

There are 53 offensive lineman in the Big 12 with 98 or more offensive snaps (98 was used because that's how many Weston Wright has played). Here's where our guys rank:

Wilburn (35th)
Mills (36th)
Wright (40th -- with half of those snaps against Murray State)
Peterson (44th)
Jackson (46th)
Rogers (49th)

That seems... bad.

The destruction of Caleb Rogers against UH was particularly disturbing. But maybe the most frustrating development has been the mostly-anemic run game. I'm not an OL specialist. It's nearly impossible for me to discern whether it's scheme, running back, or OL play that's causing those problems. But we've had 1 designed run against P5 teams that went for more than 15 yards. A lot of that is blocking related.

Dennis Wilburn at 60.6 has the highest grade on run blocking snaps per PFF, with Caleb Rogers the lowest at 48.8. For reference, we had 3 OL higher than a 60 run-blocking grade last year (Deaton, Wright, Storment).

Pre-season expectations factor in heavily here, though. I did not have high hopes for this position group. A guy many considered to be a sure-fire starter (Cole Spencer) was lost for the season. A guy we brought in to win an interior spot (Cade Briggs) lost the job to a walk-on. The expected transfer battle between Ty Buchanon and Monroe Mills for right tackle never actually took place due to injuries. The consensus among any Texas Tech football fan was that this position group would be an issue. And for the most part, they have.

Additionally, I've heard it enough from the coaching staff the last few weeks to know that not all of the pass-protection issues are the OL's fault. If you listen to the coaches, some of it is Donovan and some of it is Kittley. The fact that they are playing with a young QB, in a new scheme, and against what appear to be solid to good defenses is helping their grade here somewhat, although it's not going to get any easier moving forward....

OL Grade: C

Running Backs


Sarodorick and Tahj only ones being considered here.

This is where high pre-season expectations is factoring in to hurt a grade more so than any other position group. If you haven't noticed, our inability to run the ball in early downs scares the hell out of me. I think it's pretty important to get that fixed, which would place Donovan in better situations and give our opponents' edge rushers some hesitation.

Having watched all of our snaps several times, though, effort is not a problem. Both these guys run hard. Really hard. And they look hard to tackle. They have caught the ball well and ran after the catch just fine, too. I have a strong inclination to blame our woeful running game on anyone but these two . But they're going to get downgraded for it nonetheless.

They also seem to have a ways to go in pass protection. Whether it's a mental slip up (Sarodorick last Saturday) or physically getting beat (Tahj a few times), they need to do more in our collective effort to keep Donovan upright.

RBs Grade: C+


Wide Receivers


Players Considered: Jerand Bradley, Myles Price, Loic Founji, Nehemiah Martinez, Xavier White, Brady Boyd, Trey Cleveland, JJ Sparkman

I almost didn't consider Sparkman. He hasn't played much. It's really just been Loic, Cleveland and Bradley on the outside. Nehemiah, Xavier, & Myles on the inside. And Brady Boyd as kind of a utility guy.

This is such a difficult position to grade. Network television cameras show these guys about 10% of the time they're on the field. If cameras only showed guys running routes, instead of the line of scrimmage, I wonder how many sacks the casual fan would blame on them instead of the OL?

I'm also not sure what my pre-season expectations were for this group. They weren't terribly high. Definitely not has high as @T. Beadles, who perpetually believes "everything is fine at WR." The guy with the most targets (Jerand) against both NC State & UH is classified as a FR. We have multiple first-year transfers and former walk-ons contributing (Xavier, Nehemiah, Boyd), although that's not always a strong indicator of talent issues at this position compared to other spots like QB, OL, DBs. We were also told by numerous people close to the program that this room would lack a guy that could "really take the top off of a defense." Having thought about it some, I guess I had pretty average to below average expectations for this group.

With respect to production, against UH / NC State, the guys listed above were targeted 72 times. They have 41 catches for 474 yards. However, about 25% of those yards have come on the 3 TD plays Kittley decided to call against UH (Nehemiah / Price) & NC State (Price). There have been some good, really competitive catches along the sidelines. Some of them in massive situations in the UH game. But those are generally 7 - 10 yard gains. There haven't been any contested catches downfield by this group, but also not a lot of opportunities for them, which may or may not be their fault.

I'd be curious to know what others would grade this group because I'm struggling.

WR Grade: C+

Tight Ends

Players Considered: Mason Tharp & Henry Teeter

My expectations were probably a little too high for this group coming into the year. I liked what each brought physically. But they have, to my eye, been largely non-factors in our offense through 3 games. I don't think that's necessarily all their fault by any means.

Against UH & NC State, our TEs were targeted 6 times. They have 4 catches for 32 yards, with most of those yards coming from Tharp being really tough to tackle after the catch against NC State. The Baylor Cupp injury hurts because he was factoring in somewhat in the running game. Strangely, Teeter went from over 30 snaps against UH to just 8 snaps against NC State. He hasn't been targeted once. Not sure what that development could mean, if anything.

I'm going to have to give this group an incomplete grade. We just haven't seen them do much. Maybe the biggest impact they have had on a game was when Donovan tried to force that redzone throw into Tharp against UH and it was picked off. It's not good that, when thinking about the TE room in general, that's the first play that comes to my mind.

TE Grade: Incomplete


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STORY: Speedy WR Chris Palfreeman is commit No. 15 for Texas Tech


Really like this pickup. You can never have enough speed, especially in an offense where you'll be throwing the ball a ton. I think Tech has room for one more receiver in this class but we'll see who they zero in on. I think Jamarion Carroll is up there on the wish list and he'd be a nice way to close the WR group.

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Chris Palfreeman

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The Texas Tech coaches added a surprise commitment to the 2023 class on Wednesday afternoon in Fort Worth All Saints Episcopal athlete Chris Palfreeman.

It's a surprise because in mid-November Palfreeman cut his list of offers down to a top five...which didn't include the Red Raiders. Arkansas, Texas A&M, Texas, SMU and Baylor were thought to be the favorites in the mix for the talented speedster.

However, a weekend visit to Lubbock and a strong connection with the Texas Tech coaches made the difference, and now Palfreeman will play his college football in the scarlet and black.

"Coach Emmett Jones, he gave me an offer when he was at Kansas and we've stayed in touch, so I knew him through that. Coach (Joey) McGuire, the day he became head coach at Texas Tech he re-offered me. Coach Kenny (Perry), he comes up to my school a lot so me and him got a good relationship and I talk to him a lot.

I chose Texas Tech because the coaches make it feel like a family. On my visit they showed real love. I got to see the whole campus, the locker room, put on the jerseys, eat food, stuff like that."

For Palfreeman, an opportunity to play wide receiver in a Zach Kittley-led offense was also very intriguing. After all, Kittley's Western Kentucky unit threw the ball an average of 50 times for 434 yards per game last season.

"Yeah, definitely. I'm gonna be playing a lot of slot. Really just all over the field, but we're gonna be throwing the ball a lot for sure. Basically the coaches said they like the way I move, my speed and my shiftiness."

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The visit to Lubbock was Palfreeman's second to Lubbock, as he came up several years ago for a game when he was younger (shoutout @madmanmatzke1).

"It was my second time. I came up a few years ago as a kid."

One of Palfreeman's teammates in 2021, Jace Lowe, signed with the Red Raiders as a preferred walk-on offensive lineman as part of the 2022 class. Palfreeman says Lowe reached out and congratulated him on his commitment.

Now that he's done with the process, look for Palfreeman to put his recruiting hat on to try and bring others to Texas Tech with him.

"Recruiting others around the country and stuff like that? Probably (laughs). Devin Bell, he's a defensive back from Skyline, I wanna try and get him to Tech."

Palfreeman is a multi-sport athlete who is currently in the middle of track season while also playing some 7v7. His outdoor personal record in the 100 meter is 10.54, which he ran in 2020.

"I'm playing a little bit of 7v7 when I have time, track right now and a bunch of training. I run the 100 meter, 200 meter, 4x100 meter, 4x200 meter, 4x400 meter.

I might run track at Tech, we'll see."

Palfreeman, who last season put up 1,234 total yards and four touchdowns, says Texas Tech fans should expect to see a playmaker next season in Lubbock, TX.

"Off the field I don't really do much, I chill. On the field you can see me, I'll be shifty, catching deep balls, things like that. Seeing me play my game and do me."

Palfreeman is currently rated by Rivals as a 5.6 three-star recruit, which is worth 75 points in the Rivals Team Recruiting Rankings. Palfreeman's commitment keeps Texas Tech with a solid grasp on the No. 2 recruiting class in the country, just 43 points behind Notre Dame.

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Bradford Jr., Martinez, Thompson, & more talk keys to victory against Texas pres. by Energy Renovation Center



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Tyree Wilson an earlier 1st rounder?

ESPN Draft Analyst Jordan Reid thinks so.

What prospect is moving up on your board?

Reid: Tyree Wilson, OLB, Texas Tech. I
got to see Wilson in person on Saturday
at NC State, and I was really impressed with his game. He finished with 11 tackles, 3.5 tackles for loss and two sacks. At 6-foot-6 and 275 pounds, Wilson is still figuring out how to use the sum of his parts, but the foundation is there -- and it's the type of skill set and physical traits that we've seen NFL evaluators
fall in love with in the past. I didn't have
Wilson on my preseason top-25 board, but that will certainly change now. And with continued development, I wouldn't be surprised if Wilson rises into the top half of the first round.

Let UT Hate Week Begin

There’s not a whole lot in this world I hate but the city of Austin, their fans and that university is high on the list. I travel to Austin quite a bit and I can feel the arrogance as soon as I land in that God forsaken city. Nothing I would love more than a W this week.

Let the hate flow through you this week. Get to The Jones, be early, be loud and stay late. Would be a huge win for these boys. Our D can keep us in the game (never thought I would say that) need something out of the offense. Let’s goooo boys!!! Wreck Em!

STORY: Red Raiders in the NFL: 2022 Week Two


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