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Prop Bets: Texas Tech @ Kansas St

I always find the player and team prop bets, and that market in general, really intriguing. Some general discussion below

Donovan Smith - Pass Yards - 266.5 - Man, this number feels like a hard one to hit over on at a place like Kansas St. I don't see Tech getting off another 100+ plays again on the road like they did in home OT games against Houston & Texas.

SaRodorick Thompson - Rush Yards - 42.5 - I'm not sure I'd touch this bet but, gun to my head, I'd lean under.

Tahj Brooks - Rush Yards - 39.5 - I think Tahj could get more snaps in this game being the better pass catcher. Hopefully, that would translate to more rush attempts and more yards. The over intrigues me.

Myles Price - Receiving Yards - 64.5 - I totally expect him to get peppered with targets again. Kittley found some comfort for Donovan in Price last week, and I would expect that to continue on the road. K-State gave up some big chunk yardage plays against OU. I can see Price riding a couple of those to the over.

Jerand Bradley - Receiving Yards - 44.5 - As much as I love Bradley as a prospect, he hasn't shown enough for me to wager on him hitting the over in a game where I expect Tech to run at least 30 less plays.

Nehemiah Martinez - Receiving Yards - 25.5 - This game archetype totally lends itself to this tough, thick, mfer rumbling around for some gains. If you thought K-St would scheme to eliminating Price for some reason, then I would pound this over. It's either going to be Martinez or the TEs doing some dirty work.

Texas Tech Team Points - 23.5 - 11AM road game at (former) Big 12 North schools always make me leery for a clunker offensively. I'm scarred. That being said, I would think aggressive #analytics will help make this over very attainable.

Adrian Martinez - Pass Yards - 211.5 - If he reaches this total, something went wrong, IMO (aside from some garbage time stats). K-St doesn't, typically, run a lot of plays, and I don't expect them to start airing out against a pretty sound defense.

Deuce Vaughn - Rush Yards - 121.5 - I would like to think the nations 22nd best rush defense that just held their own against Bijan Robinson can contain Deuce as well...... but this guy's shiftiness vs our LB group scares the hell out of me. I wouldn't touch this number.

Adrian Martinez - Rush Yards - 62.5 - Tech (*knock on freaking wood*) isn't allowing a ton of huge rushing gains from scrimmage. K-St, on the other hand, is breaking off quite a few. I worry our "defensive soundness" could allow for Martinez to turn broken pass plays into a few big gains. I would lean the over, if I had to bet it. Tech has to be able to prevent this from happening.

Malik Knowles - Receiving Yards - 44.5 - No real opinion on this one.

Kansas St Team Points - 33.5 - Sans OT, I would be surprised if they got to 34. I don't see a lot of possessions in this game that involves two pretty sound defenses and two offenses that aren't crazy explosive. I can see a lot of long drives resulting in FGs.

Weekly Over / Unders Contest - Kansas State Edition (pres. by Fields of Gold)

Yes, I'm two weeks behind now on updating the standings. Sorry. I will update them and there will still be a prize for first place and last place. You will need at least 100 picks to qualify for the big winner or loser, so missing a week won't knock you out of that.



1. Snaps by Behren Morton - 1.5

2. Highest-grossing non-QB fantasy player for Tech (TD = 6 points, each yard = .1 points, each reception = 1 point, 2 pt conversion = 2 points, fumble lost = -2 points) -- ?

3. Passes completed by Tech when the ball travels 20 or more yards downfield through the air - 1.5

4. Snaps taken by Tech from under center (kneels do not count) - 1.5

5. Total rushing or receiving yards by Deuce Vaughan - 115 total yards

6. Points scored by Kansas State - 31

7. Points scored by Texas Tech - 24

8. Rushing attempts (sacks included) by Texas Tech players not named Tahj or Sarodorick -- 12.5

9. Will Kansas State turn the ball over? Yes or No

10. Number of times Tech attempts to convert a 4th down on Tech's side of the field - 1.5


Ryan left it all out on the field in everything he did. In his honor, we bring you Fields of Gold, so that others facing bone cancer can keep on playing. A portion of proceeds from every case sold is donated to The Little Warrior Foundation.

The Little Warrior Foundation's mission is to fund & find a lasting cure for childhood cancer, with a specific focus on Ewing's Sarcoma.




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What I Think Happens Saturday - Kansas State Edition (pres. by FHIP)

I'm picking Texas Tech to win this game. It goes against every fiber in my body.

We are 8-point underdogs.

Playing a team we haven't beaten in multiple presidential administrations. I was a freshman in college the last time we won in Manhattan.

Their defense is very well suited to stop our offense and now has a pretty good idea of what Kittley's adjusted with his play calling to account for the weaknesses we have up front.

Deuce is good. Really good. Fast.

Kansas State has also looked really, really good in their 2 games against P5 teams (Mizzou & OU), including one game that's probably the best win of any team in the country.

We're also coming off a very emotional win against UT and this is a classic let down spot (this logic applies to them, too... but they're at least playing at home).



..........Picking Tech to win this game is, honestly, self-destructive behavior.

Dangerous behavior, too, compared to other self-destructive outlets like cocaine and hookers. You know, there's probably some scholarly research out there comparing the negative health effects of buying into a Tech team that's about to play K-State versus paying for sex. I just don't have time to find it right now, but I bet you it's worth a read. Definitely would for my own personal journey.

Regardless, I'm ready to be hurt again.

This Tech defense is built different.

We have an NFL edge guy that's really good against the run.

Outside of maybe Weston Wright and a random brace recently added to Donovan's knee, we are a very healthy football team.

There is a non-zero chance Donovan is a future stud QB and he's about to put it all together in a big way. This might be unlikely, but it's quite possible.

Tech football these last few games, even going back to late last year, has been in the business of exorcising demons. I don't think it stops tomorrow.

Texas Tech 24
Kansas State 23




This post is brought to you by From Here It's Podible, or FHIP for short.

FHIP -- while not the best Tech sports podcast (hell, it's not even top 30) -- is the only podcast in the world dedicated to Redraidersports subscribers (despite being generally sh*t on by RRS, the entity). All other podcasts (which are way better than FHIP) are for your average, run-of-the-mill Tech sports fans. Those podcasts are for the peasants. Not FHIP. FHIP is made for you by people like you. The hosts watch all the football games and approximately 1/3rd of the basketball games.



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STORY: Staff Predictions: Tough road test in Manhattan


The RRS staff gives their game predictions for tomorrow against Kansas State. What do y'all think? Any final score predictions?


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  • Poll
OT: vote worst month in Texas

Worst month in Texas

  • August

    Votes: 295 61.3%
  • February

    Votes: 48 10.0%
  • January

    Votes: 20 4.2%
  • March

    Votes: 11 2.3%
  • November

    Votes: 1 0.2%
  • December

    Votes: 2 0.4%
  • June

    Votes: 9 1.9%
  • July

    Votes: 41 8.5%
  • September

    Votes: 5 1.0%
  • F aggy

    Votes: 135 28.1%

Well, since it came up on the Estes Park thread, I’m curious as to the general sentiment. I vote August because it is one miserable SOB, but Feb runs a close second because of cold, dreary days and Valentines Day, the greatest scam ever devised behind Ponzi schemes and Scentsy.
I left May,April and October out of the list because who could hate April, May and October? Besides, I only had so many choices and needed at least one for you-know-what. You can write them in if you are some sort of calendar miscreant.
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