This may not be how the Vegas lines see it, but who are the four playoff teams in this scenario:
Alabama beats Georgia in the SEC championship.
Michigan beats Iowa in Big 10 championship.
Washington beats Oregon in Pac 12 championship.
Florida State beats Louisville in ACC championship.
Texas beats Oklahoma State in Big 12 championship.
Michigan, Washington and Florida State are all unbeaten champions in Power 5 conferences. They have to be in. The committee is not going to boot out a 13-0 Florida State despite an injury to its QB, especially if they look good against Louisville.
So who gets the final spot? You could say Georgia, but they just got beat by Alabama in the SEC title game and their schedule was very weak early. With both at 12-1, how does Georgia trump Alabama, who just beate them? Is it Alabama, your one-loss SEC champion? Didn't they lose to Texas by double digits at home and while they have played better down the stretch, it took the hand of God to win against 6-6 Auburn on Saturday?
That leaves Texas, which, like it or not, is going to have a very strong case. Only loss in the last second against a 10-2 team and would have the best win -- Alabama on the road trumps Georgia on a neutral field.
The SEC could get left out. Even at the expense of Texas, the whining would be quite entertaining coming from Dixie.
In reality, I think Georgia and Oregon win, but I always root for chaos.
Alabama beats Georgia in the SEC championship.
Michigan beats Iowa in Big 10 championship.
Washington beats Oregon in Pac 12 championship.
Florida State beats Louisville in ACC championship.
Texas beats Oklahoma State in Big 12 championship.
Michigan, Washington and Florida State are all unbeaten champions in Power 5 conferences. They have to be in. The committee is not going to boot out a 13-0 Florida State despite an injury to its QB, especially if they look good against Louisville.
So who gets the final spot? You could say Georgia, but they just got beat by Alabama in the SEC title game and their schedule was very weak early. With both at 12-1, how does Georgia trump Alabama, who just beate them? Is it Alabama, your one-loss SEC champion? Didn't they lose to Texas by double digits at home and while they have played better down the stretch, it took the hand of God to win against 6-6 Auburn on Saturday?
That leaves Texas, which, like it or not, is going to have a very strong case. Only loss in the last second against a 10-2 team and would have the best win -- Alabama on the road trumps Georgia on a neutral field.
The SEC could get left out. Even at the expense of Texas, the whining would be quite entertaining coming from Dixie.
In reality, I think Georgia and Oregon win, but I always root for chaos.
