OU -11 at Nebraska. For the second year in a row, OU will be 2-possession favorites over a team that just fired their HC. OU was a super short favorite over the summer versus Nebraska. I think it dipped below a touchdown. This week, understandably, they opened as high as OU -16. It's come down now big time to around OU -11. Nebraska is in shambles, their defense is terrible, and they have an interim coach. But they have infamously played like 74 one-possession games in a row (so +11 is a lot of points for them at home). I don't have a position on this one, but am interested to see if that Nebraska steam (it was bet from +16 to +11) works out.
Notre Dame -11 at Cal. Notre Dame is 0-2. Not good. Their offense looks bad. Cal isn't that good, either. Someone smart told me to grab Notre Dame -9.5, so I did. Now other smart people are saying to bet Cal +11. Not sure what to do here.
Kansas State -14 v. Tulane. I got faked out on this one. Based on some of the initial movement, I thought this line was going to go KSU -17 or higher, so I personally bet KSU -16. It was a head fake because about 10 minutes after betting KSU, I got a request by a sharp group to bet as much Tulane as possible at +14.5 or better. It happens. I'm probably on the wrong side of this one and, with the line now Tulane +14 across the board, I'm stuck with a KSU position. It does seem like a let down spot for KSU after they murdered Mizzou. I'm interested to see if Tulane is as "live" as people are telling me they are. I do like their coach, Willie Fritz, a lot.
Penn State -3.5 at Auburn. Auburn must not be very good. That's what I was told last Saturday before they played SJSU (and failed to cover). Now they are a home dog (+3) to Penn State. Penn State is probably pretty good, but SEC West schools are supposed to be favored in non-con games at home. At least that's what the pro-SEC narrative would have you think.
Oregon -3.5 v BYU. This is a ridiculous stretch of football for BYU. At USF on the east coast in week 1, play a really tough Baylor team at home back in Utah, then fly out to the west Coast for a game against, what should be, a pissed off Oregon team. Independent life doesn't look fun. That atmosphere Saturday night was electric. It blows our atmosphere (and 95% of the country) out of the water. They don't have any students leaving. They also have a little different of a situation out there. No alchohol -- those people are just high on life and BYU football. They are going to really be a factor in the new Big 12. More so in my opinion than UH, Cincy, and UCF. And I think the home field advantage has a lot to do with it. But this week out in Oregon might be a tough spot for them. I don't have anything on the game, just interested to see what happens.
UH -9.5 v. Kansas. Dana sounded down-right scared of Kansas in his presser this week. It was beyond the normal coach-speak stuff. He thinks Kansas could be for real and was all but begging UH's fans and students to show up to the game to help his team out. This line opened +10.5 some spots and has been bet down. I grabbed Kansas +10 -110.
Mississippi State -2.5 at LSU. Miss. State's defense is for real this year. They are really good, maybe top 10 in the country. This opened Miss State -3 / -3.5, which surprised people considering LSU's track record at home and how rare it is for them to be an underdog there. It's been bet down to under -2.5. I know sharp people on both sides of this -- groups that grabbed LSU +3 and feel good about it and groups that have Miss State -2 or less and LOVE the play.
Ohio State -32 v. Toledo. I don't have anything on this one, but it just feels wrong. Toledo is the favorite to win the MAC. Ohio State's slogfest with Notre Dame in week 1 doesn't look so good anymore. 32 points is a lot to be giving a historically very pesky Toledo team.
NC State -10 v. Texas Tech. This line was NC State -14 over the summer. I've seen it cross 10 (from Tech +9.5 to +10.5) a couple times this week. It could be the biggest underdog spot for us all year, with the possible exception of when we play at Stillwater (although if we played @OSU this Saturday, I think it would be Tech +10 or less). Donovan's last few starts of v. Ok. State, v. Iowa State, @Baylor, Miss. State, v.UH, @NC State.... these aren't easy games. We've been pretty big underdogs in most of those. This will be the biggest of them all though.
Iowa -23 v. Nevada. Nevada is so, so bad. Absolutely terrible. Was a home dog to freakin' Texas State. Struggled with New Mexico State. Got trounced at home to Eric Morris-less Incarnate Word. But Iowa has literally scored 1 offensive TD this year. I took Iowa -21 when it opened. They are going to shut Nevada out and I think the offense is going to finally score a couple TDs. I think they win like 38-0.
Texas - 12.5 v. UTSA.
That line movement indicates strongly that Card is out. This could be a tough game. I hate that UTSA has absolutely been through the ringer these last two weeks, though. A heart-breaking game against a tough Houston team, where their OL got absolutely destroyed. Then follow it up with a thrilling OT win against Army, probably the strangest team in the country to play. Playing UTSA right now is a gift to Texas from the scheduling gods that definitely offsets the fact that UT is coming off the Bama game and is in a let down spot themselves (it's also the week before they play us). I'm really tempted to bet Texas here, but haven't yet.
Aggy -5.5 v Miami. No thoughts, really. Just excited to root for the U. Aggy got absolutely destroyed by App. State. The game should not have been close. They had a special teams score and App State nearly doubled up their snap count. Crazy.
Clemson -34 v. La Tech. Not a lot of thoughts on this particular game, but Sonny Cumbie got his revenge on Colby Carthel and SFA last week. Murdered them by 30+ points. SFA is one of the biggest disappointments in the country, FBS or FCS.
USC -12 v. Fresno. Someone smart told me to bet USC, so I did but I don't like it and the line hasn't moved the way that person thought it would.... so maybe I was right. Fresno has a really cool offense, a veteran and crafty QB, and they are sneaky good. USC's defense could be an issue. They let David Shaw and Stanford go up and down the field last week, which is something David Shaw never does. I think USC was around +4 in turnovers in that game. It was closer than the final score, for sure. Lincoln better have USC ready to play.
My bets so far are listed below. I think the ones posted in last week's thread went like 10-5 or something.
Notre Dame -9.5 -115
Old Dominion +10.5 -110
Old Dominion / Virginia U55.5 -110
Kansas State -16 -110
Kansas +10 -110
LSU +3 -110
Texas Tech +10.5 -110
Texas Tech / NC State U56 -110
Baylor O52 -110
Cincy -19.5 -110
Buffalo +14.5 -115
Boling Green +17.5 -110
Michigan State +3.5 -105
FAU +9.5 -110
Iowa -21 -110
USC -12 -105
SMU +3 -110 (this is a terrible number)
WKU +7 -105
Nebraska +11 -105
Georgia Southern +12 -105
Clemson -32.5 105
Ryan left it all out on the field in everything he did. In his honor, we bring you Fields of Gold, so that others facing bone cancer can keep on playing. A portion of proceeds from every case sold is donated to The Little Warrior Foundation.
The Little Warrior Foundation's mission is to fund & find a lasting cure for childhood cancer, with a specific focus on Ewing's Sarcoma.
shop.summerlandwinebrands.com
@Saynotobarefoot
Notre Dame -11 at Cal. Notre Dame is 0-2. Not good. Their offense looks bad. Cal isn't that good, either. Someone smart told me to grab Notre Dame -9.5, so I did. Now other smart people are saying to bet Cal +11. Not sure what to do here.
Kansas State -14 v. Tulane. I got faked out on this one. Based on some of the initial movement, I thought this line was going to go KSU -17 or higher, so I personally bet KSU -16. It was a head fake because about 10 minutes after betting KSU, I got a request by a sharp group to bet as much Tulane as possible at +14.5 or better. It happens. I'm probably on the wrong side of this one and, with the line now Tulane +14 across the board, I'm stuck with a KSU position. It does seem like a let down spot for KSU after they murdered Mizzou. I'm interested to see if Tulane is as "live" as people are telling me they are. I do like their coach, Willie Fritz, a lot.
Penn State -3.5 at Auburn. Auburn must not be very good. That's what I was told last Saturday before they played SJSU (and failed to cover). Now they are a home dog (+3) to Penn State. Penn State is probably pretty good, but SEC West schools are supposed to be favored in non-con games at home. At least that's what the pro-SEC narrative would have you think.
Oregon -3.5 v BYU. This is a ridiculous stretch of football for BYU. At USF on the east coast in week 1, play a really tough Baylor team at home back in Utah, then fly out to the west Coast for a game against, what should be, a pissed off Oregon team. Independent life doesn't look fun. That atmosphere Saturday night was electric. It blows our atmosphere (and 95% of the country) out of the water. They don't have any students leaving. They also have a little different of a situation out there. No alchohol -- those people are just high on life and BYU football. They are going to really be a factor in the new Big 12. More so in my opinion than UH, Cincy, and UCF. And I think the home field advantage has a lot to do with it. But this week out in Oregon might be a tough spot for them. I don't have anything on the game, just interested to see what happens.
UH -9.5 v. Kansas. Dana sounded down-right scared of Kansas in his presser this week. It was beyond the normal coach-speak stuff. He thinks Kansas could be for real and was all but begging UH's fans and students to show up to the game to help his team out. This line opened +10.5 some spots and has been bet down. I grabbed Kansas +10 -110.
Mississippi State -2.5 at LSU. Miss. State's defense is for real this year. They are really good, maybe top 10 in the country. This opened Miss State -3 / -3.5, which surprised people considering LSU's track record at home and how rare it is for them to be an underdog there. It's been bet down to under -2.5. I know sharp people on both sides of this -- groups that grabbed LSU +3 and feel good about it and groups that have Miss State -2 or less and LOVE the play.
Ohio State -32 v. Toledo. I don't have anything on this one, but it just feels wrong. Toledo is the favorite to win the MAC. Ohio State's slogfest with Notre Dame in week 1 doesn't look so good anymore. 32 points is a lot to be giving a historically very pesky Toledo team.
NC State -10 v. Texas Tech. This line was NC State -14 over the summer. I've seen it cross 10 (from Tech +9.5 to +10.5) a couple times this week. It could be the biggest underdog spot for us all year, with the possible exception of when we play at Stillwater (although if we played @OSU this Saturday, I think it would be Tech +10 or less). Donovan's last few starts of v. Ok. State, v. Iowa State, @Baylor, Miss. State, v.UH, @NC State.... these aren't easy games. We've been pretty big underdogs in most of those. This will be the biggest of them all though.
Iowa -23 v. Nevada. Nevada is so, so bad. Absolutely terrible. Was a home dog to freakin' Texas State. Struggled with New Mexico State. Got trounced at home to Eric Morris-less Incarnate Word. But Iowa has literally scored 1 offensive TD this year. I took Iowa -21 when it opened. They are going to shut Nevada out and I think the offense is going to finally score a couple TDs. I think they win like 38-0.
Texas - 12.5 v. UTSA.
That line movement indicates strongly that Card is out. This could be a tough game. I hate that UTSA has absolutely been through the ringer these last two weeks, though. A heart-breaking game against a tough Houston team, where their OL got absolutely destroyed. Then follow it up with a thrilling OT win against Army, probably the strangest team in the country to play. Playing UTSA right now is a gift to Texas from the scheduling gods that definitely offsets the fact that UT is coming off the Bama game and is in a let down spot themselves (it's also the week before they play us). I'm really tempted to bet Texas here, but haven't yet.
Aggy -5.5 v Miami. No thoughts, really. Just excited to root for the U. Aggy got absolutely destroyed by App. State. The game should not have been close. They had a special teams score and App State nearly doubled up their snap count. Crazy.
Clemson -34 v. La Tech. Not a lot of thoughts on this particular game, but Sonny Cumbie got his revenge on Colby Carthel and SFA last week. Murdered them by 30+ points. SFA is one of the biggest disappointments in the country, FBS or FCS.
USC -12 v. Fresno. Someone smart told me to bet USC, so I did but I don't like it and the line hasn't moved the way that person thought it would.... so maybe I was right. Fresno has a really cool offense, a veteran and crafty QB, and they are sneaky good. USC's defense could be an issue. They let David Shaw and Stanford go up and down the field last week, which is something David Shaw never does. I think USC was around +4 in turnovers in that game. It was closer than the final score, for sure. Lincoln better have USC ready to play.
My bets so far are listed below. I think the ones posted in last week's thread went like 10-5 or something.
Notre Dame -9.5 -115
Old Dominion +10.5 -110
Old Dominion / Virginia U55.5 -110
Kansas State -16 -110
Kansas +10 -110
LSU +3 -110
Texas Tech +10.5 -110
Texas Tech / NC State U56 -110
Baylor O52 -110
Cincy -19.5 -110
Buffalo +14.5 -115
Boling Green +17.5 -110
Michigan State +3.5 -105
FAU +9.5 -110
Iowa -21 -110
USC -12 -105
SMU +3 -110 (this is a terrible number)
WKU +7 -105
Nebraska +11 -105
Georgia Southern +12 -105
Clemson -32.5 105
Ryan left it all out on the field in everything he did. In his honor, we bring you Fields of Gold, so that others facing bone cancer can keep on playing. A portion of proceeds from every case sold is donated to The Little Warrior Foundation.
The Little Warrior Foundation's mission is to fund & find a lasting cure for childhood cancer, with a specific focus on Ewing's Sarcoma.
Summerland Wine Brands - Shop - Fields of Gold
shop.summerlandwinebrands.com
@Saynotobarefoot
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