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Texas Tech as a Big Home Underdog

4O9to8O6Nback

"I retire from podcasting"- @T. Beadles
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Dec 30, 2015
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Since 2006, Tech has been a home underdog of 10 or more points only 9 times. The only time we've won outright in this situation was last Saturday. But we are 7-2 against the spread in these games, most of which were extremely close.

This Saturday will likely be the 10th time Tech's been this big of an underdog since 2006, and the 4th time in the last 2 years. We went 9 seasons from 2007 - 2015 where Tech was this big of a home underdog only twice.

6 of these 10 games were against OU or UT (mainly, OU). With both of them off the schedule in the coming years, this situation (Tech a massive home underdog) will happen much less frequently, which bodes well for our new HC.

Here's a recap of those games, nearly all of which ended up being high profile / memorable.



2006 UT aka "the questionable Filani spot game"; Line was Tech +10; Lost 35-31

Tech raced out to a 24-7 lead and was winning 31-21 at half. After being shutout on 6 straight second-half possessions that only netted 100 yards, Tech has the ball at UT's 16 yard line going in with 4 minutes left. Graham gets stuffed on a 4th and 1 sneak.



2011 Okie Lite - Tech +19; Tech lost 66-6

Hey Cornelius, you played defense in HS, right? Try guarding Justin Blackmon.


2014 OU - Tech +14; Tech lost 42-30

Pat Mahomes should not have been getting 14 points to Cody Thomas at home, I don't care who else is on the field. We were winning at half 14-7 and briefly held a 24-21 lead in the fourth quarter before imploding. Pat did connect on 40-yard bomb to Cantrell with no time left for the backdoor cover.



2016 OU - Tech +14; Lost 66-59

OU scored TDs on their final 6 possessions. Pat accounted for over 100 rushes / pass attempts. Most ridiculous game of all time.



2017 Ok. State - Tech +10.5; Tech lost 41-34

Tied 34-34 with 5 minutes left in the game. Tech stalls around midfield and punts. O$U scores on a 20 yard run by Rudolph on a drive aided by a big personal foul penalty. I think this is the game where Schimonek's hail mary didn't reach the end zone.

FWIW, our defense played good enough to win this game. Held O$U to 3.1 points per possession (they were #2 in the country and averaged 3.5); returned an interception for a TD; forced 4 FG attempts, including one on a drive that started at the Tech 9-yard line after a blocked punt.



2018 OU - Tech +14; Lost 51-46

Raced out to a 14-0 lead after two Vaughnte Dorsey interceptions. Leading 31-28 at halftime after Bowman's lung exploded diving for the end zone. Bowman was nearly flawless in the first half: 21/26 for 227 yards and 2 TDs.

Duffey starts out the second half with 3 consecutive 3 and outs that netted 4 positive yards. Luckily, the Gibbs' sieve had stopped OU & Kyler Murray on 4 out of 5 possessions during that timeframe. Duffey leads a furious comeback that falls just short, scoring 17 points on our last 3 possessions.

Similar to the 2017 O$U game, the D played well enough to win this one. Held OU to 3.65 points per possession (they led the country at 4.13), forced 2 second-half 3 and outs, and picked off two passes that lead to 3-yard and 25-yard TD drives.



2020 - UT - Tech +17.5; Tech lost in OT 56-63

This loss is still fresh so no need to recap it. Tech +17.5 was one of the worst lines ever made on a Tech game, IMO.


2020 OU - Tech +15.5; Tech gets destroyed 28-62

Scored first and then OU rattled off 42 unanswered. Columbi had multiple tipped interceptions that probably weren't his fault.


2021 ISU - Tech +12.5; Tech wins 41-38

Garibay.


2021 Ok. State - Tech +10.5; ???

Two years ago, Oklahoma State opened as a 10 point favorite, but it closed around Tech +9 so that one barely does not qualify. Would be amazing to win two of these games back to back, when we hadn't done it once in over a decade.
 
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