I always find the player and team prop bets, and that market in general, really intriguing. Some general discussion below
Donovan Smith - Pass Yards - 266.5 - Man, this number feels like a hard one to hit over on at a place like Kansas St. I don't see Tech getting off another 100+ plays again on the road like they did in home OT games against Houston & Texas.
SaRodorick Thompson - Rush Yards - 42.5 - I'm not sure I'd touch this bet but, gun to my head, I'd lean under.
Tahj Brooks - Rush Yards - 39.5 - I think Tahj could get more snaps in this game being the better pass catcher. Hopefully, that would translate to more rush attempts and more yards. The over intrigues me.
Myles Price - Receiving Yards - 64.5 - I totally expect him to get peppered with targets again. Kittley found some comfort for Donovan in Price last week, and I would expect that to continue on the road. K-State gave up some big chunk yardage plays against OU. I can see Price riding a couple of those to the over.
Jerand Bradley - Receiving Yards - 44.5 - As much as I love Bradley as a prospect, he hasn't shown enough for me to wager on him hitting the over in a game where I expect Tech to run at least 30 less plays.
Nehemiah Martinez - Receiving Yards - 25.5 - This game archetype totally lends itself to this tough, thick, mfer rumbling around for some gains. If you thought K-St would scheme to eliminating Price for some reason, then I would pound this over. It's either going to be Martinez or the TEs doing some dirty work.
Texas Tech Team Points - 23.5 - 11AM road game at (former) Big 12 North schools always make me leery for a clunker offensively. I'm scarred. That being said, I would think aggressive #analytics will help make this over very attainable.
Adrian Martinez - Pass Yards - 211.5 - If he reaches this total, something went wrong, IMO (aside from some garbage time stats). K-St doesn't, typically, run a lot of plays, and I don't expect them to start airing out against a pretty sound defense.
Deuce Vaughn - Rush Yards - 121.5 - I would like to think the nations 22nd best rush defense that just held their own against Bijan Robinson can contain Deuce as well...... but this guy's shiftiness vs our LB group scares the hell out of me. I wouldn't touch this number.
Adrian Martinez - Rush Yards - 62.5 - Tech (*knock on freaking wood*) isn't allowing a ton of huge rushing gains from scrimmage. K-St, on the other hand, is breaking off quite a few. I worry our "defensive soundness" could allow for Martinez to turn broken pass plays into a few big gains. I would lean the over, if I had to bet it. Tech has to be able to prevent this from happening.
Malik Knowles - Receiving Yards - 44.5 - No real opinion on this one.
Kansas St Team Points - 33.5 - Sans OT, I would be surprised if they got to 34. I don't see a lot of possessions in this game that involves two pretty sound defenses and two offenses that aren't crazy explosive. I can see a lot of long drives resulting in FGs.
Donovan Smith - Pass Yards - 266.5 - Man, this number feels like a hard one to hit over on at a place like Kansas St. I don't see Tech getting off another 100+ plays again on the road like they did in home OT games against Houston & Texas.
SaRodorick Thompson - Rush Yards - 42.5 - I'm not sure I'd touch this bet but, gun to my head, I'd lean under.
Tahj Brooks - Rush Yards - 39.5 - I think Tahj could get more snaps in this game being the better pass catcher. Hopefully, that would translate to more rush attempts and more yards. The over intrigues me.
Myles Price - Receiving Yards - 64.5 - I totally expect him to get peppered with targets again. Kittley found some comfort for Donovan in Price last week, and I would expect that to continue on the road. K-State gave up some big chunk yardage plays against OU. I can see Price riding a couple of those to the over.
Jerand Bradley - Receiving Yards - 44.5 - As much as I love Bradley as a prospect, he hasn't shown enough for me to wager on him hitting the over in a game where I expect Tech to run at least 30 less plays.
Nehemiah Martinez - Receiving Yards - 25.5 - This game archetype totally lends itself to this tough, thick, mfer rumbling around for some gains. If you thought K-St would scheme to eliminating Price for some reason, then I would pound this over. It's either going to be Martinez or the TEs doing some dirty work.
Texas Tech Team Points - 23.5 - 11AM road game at (former) Big 12 North schools always make me leery for a clunker offensively. I'm scarred. That being said, I would think aggressive #analytics will help make this over very attainable.
Adrian Martinez - Pass Yards - 211.5 - If he reaches this total, something went wrong, IMO (aside from some garbage time stats). K-St doesn't, typically, run a lot of plays, and I don't expect them to start airing out against a pretty sound defense.
Deuce Vaughn - Rush Yards - 121.5 - I would like to think the nations 22nd best rush defense that just held their own against Bijan Robinson can contain Deuce as well...... but this guy's shiftiness vs our LB group scares the hell out of me. I wouldn't touch this number.
Adrian Martinez - Rush Yards - 62.5 - Tech (*knock on freaking wood*) isn't allowing a ton of huge rushing gains from scrimmage. K-St, on the other hand, is breaking off quite a few. I worry our "defensive soundness" could allow for Martinez to turn broken pass plays into a few big gains. I would lean the over, if I had to bet it. Tech has to be able to prevent this from happening.
Malik Knowles - Receiving Yards - 44.5 - No real opinion on this one.
Kansas St Team Points - 33.5 - Sans OT, I would be surprised if they got to 34. I don't see a lot of possessions in this game that involves two pretty sound defenses and two offenses that aren't crazy explosive. I can see a lot of long drives resulting in FGs.
