My initial thought was this was a draw. The Dems with the biggest House win over the GOP since Watergate. The Republicans with the hold in the Senate denying Dems the upper chamber. However, I am now seeing this as a potential Democrat house cleaning. Potential is the operative word.
Bill Nelson may pull out the win in Florida. Sinema may pull out the win in Arizona. These would be two key victories (a hold and a gain). They were able to flip Nevada, and hold West Virginia and Montana. They picked up Governorships in Kansas!, Michigan, Nevada Illinois, Maine, and Wisconsin. They picked up state houses and senate seats all across the country. This will be key to ending the extreme partisan gerrymandering that built in a decade of huge advantages for Republicans.
On the GOP side the only true victory I see to be proud of is in winning in the governorship in Ohio. Senate wins in Tennessee, Indiana, Missouri and Texas were fought on extreme Republican territory. Heck Cruz BARELY beat Beto. Claire McCaskill lucked into the Missouri seat, but her luck finally ran out. If they hold onto the lead in Florida and are able to pull Arizona out, then I will once again say it was a split decision. The GOP won the races they were supposed to win, but none they really weren't supposed to win.
The high profile Dem losses (GA governor, FL governor, and Beto) were all fought on Republican ground. Stacy Abrams coming so close to winning in the South should terrify the GOP. Georgia is trending towards being a battleground state. Texas would be a battleground state if Hispanics actually voted in our state. Beto came within a whisker of Cruz. In TEXAS! Florida is leaning Republican.
Trump lost the general election popular vote. The Dems then won the House vote by 6% or so in 2018. If this trend continues the GOP could lose the Senate in 2020.
Looking to 2020 Senate Races, it is another tough map for Dems, but they could take the Senate. Lets be honest, no way Alabama stays blue. I doubt the GOP nominates another pedophile. But the Dems will have pick up opportunities in Iowa, North Carolina, Colorado Arizona, and Maine. The Dems defend in Virginia, Michigan and New Hampshire. But Virginia is turning into a solidly blue state, and I think Michigan had enough of GOP rule. New Hampshire is always a toss up. I would say advantage GOP, but the Dems have a shot is they have a presidential nominee that isn't crazy.
The GOP has lost the popular vote seven of the past 8 elections. That isn't good. Not even a little bit. Yes, I know we don't elect by actual votes in this country. However, it does point to the direction and trends of the country. If this trend continues, states like Georgia, Texas, and Arizona will turn purple. States like Virginia, Colorado, and North Carolina will continue the moves toward blue. Of course, things can change. Nothing is static. Will be interesting to see where this thing goes.
Bill Nelson may pull out the win in Florida. Sinema may pull out the win in Arizona. These would be two key victories (a hold and a gain). They were able to flip Nevada, and hold West Virginia and Montana. They picked up Governorships in Kansas!, Michigan, Nevada Illinois, Maine, and Wisconsin. They picked up state houses and senate seats all across the country. This will be key to ending the extreme partisan gerrymandering that built in a decade of huge advantages for Republicans.
On the GOP side the only true victory I see to be proud of is in winning in the governorship in Ohio. Senate wins in Tennessee, Indiana, Missouri and Texas were fought on extreme Republican territory. Heck Cruz BARELY beat Beto. Claire McCaskill lucked into the Missouri seat, but her luck finally ran out. If they hold onto the lead in Florida and are able to pull Arizona out, then I will once again say it was a split decision. The GOP won the races they were supposed to win, but none they really weren't supposed to win.
The high profile Dem losses (GA governor, FL governor, and Beto) were all fought on Republican ground. Stacy Abrams coming so close to winning in the South should terrify the GOP. Georgia is trending towards being a battleground state. Texas would be a battleground state if Hispanics actually voted in our state. Beto came within a whisker of Cruz. In TEXAS! Florida is leaning Republican.
Trump lost the general election popular vote. The Dems then won the House vote by 6% or so in 2018. If this trend continues the GOP could lose the Senate in 2020.
Looking to 2020 Senate Races, it is another tough map for Dems, but they could take the Senate. Lets be honest, no way Alabama stays blue. I doubt the GOP nominates another pedophile. But the Dems will have pick up opportunities in Iowa, North Carolina, Colorado Arizona, and Maine. The Dems defend in Virginia, Michigan and New Hampshire. But Virginia is turning into a solidly blue state, and I think Michigan had enough of GOP rule. New Hampshire is always a toss up. I would say advantage GOP, but the Dems have a shot is they have a presidential nominee that isn't crazy.
The GOP has lost the popular vote seven of the past 8 elections. That isn't good. Not even a little bit. Yes, I know we don't elect by actual votes in this country. However, it does point to the direction and trends of the country. If this trend continues, states like Georgia, Texas, and Arizona will turn purple. States like Virginia, Colorado, and North Carolina will continue the moves toward blue. Of course, things can change. Nothing is static. Will be interesting to see where this thing goes.
