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Almost 50% of our points scored this year have come on drives with a 4th down completion

CoffeeRaider

UTT Alumni
Gold Member
Jun 24, 2011
9,542
19,990
113
With crappy data analysis:

For D1 games only (which also happens to be games against ranked opponents only)

AttemptsSuccessesPercent
4th and 1
5​
3​
60%​
4th and 2
3​
1​
33%​
4th and 3
4​
3​
75%​
4th and 4
3​
3​
100%​
4th and 5
2​
0​
0%​
4th and 6-10
5​
3​
60%​
4th and 11+
2​
1​
50%​
Total
24​
14​
58%​

I did a few cuts, and the gist was, overall we're averaging 50-60% on all 4th downs. Now here's the point results:

On drives we attempted a fourth down, we scored 6 touchdowns and 1 field goal. On drives we turned it over on downs from 4th down attempts, we gave up 3 touchdowns and 2 field goals.

In other words,:
45 of the 96 (47%) points we've scored this year, have come from extended drives where we converted a 4th down.

24 of the 112 (21%) points allowed this year, were scored on the proceding "turnover on downs" drive, and there was atleast one Pick 6, which was deep in opponent territory, that doesn't really count, but I left in.

#teamGOFORIT
 
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