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2020 FB recruiting numbers crunch

D. Kohnle

Captain
Gold Member
Feb 19, 2014
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Lubbock, TX
Crunched some of the numbers for the 2020 class after the string of late-additions.

5.6 TE Jason Lloyd

5.5 DE Josh Davies

5.6 DB Cam White

Assuming (and for - sure this is a BIG assumption) that no other school had any late-additions of the 3-star or better quality, Tech’s current class would rank 47th, jumping up 6 spots from their 53rd-ranked perch. A number 47 team ranking would allow them to jump Kansas State and get a last-second recruiting win over Kansas, no pitch backs (take that Kansas!!). It would also put them within breathing distance (yikes!) of Iowa State and a more reasonable-ish 6-foot distance from Oklahoma State (43rd).

Tech’s top-20 recruits (with all the late additions) would give them a point total of 1350, Tech’s highest point total since 2016 (despite having no 4-stars). You could definitely say that the quality of prospect, top-to-bottom, is there in the 2020 class. Tech’s average star ranking is still 3 stars, which would put them ahead of the aforementioned schools, and 5th in the Big 12. Not bad picking up some late guys and STILL not having your average stars hurt.

After that crunch, I decided to crunch the numbers AGAIN. This time, I kept Tahj Brooks as a 5.7 (inexplicably dropped to a 5.6 despite having a BALLER senior year…should have been a 4-star). I also moved Loic back to a 4-star (was a 4-star receiver who also inexplicably dropped after an insane senior year) and Jalynn Polk would still be a 4-star in this exercise. Despite doing nothing on the field that should have lost him his 4-star status, he also dropped. So I left him at a 4-star.

Tech’s top-20 recruits *COULD HAVE* looked like this:

2 = 5.8 4 stars

1 = 5.7 3 star

6 = 5.6 3 stars

11 = 5.5 3 stars

According to this exercise, the final point total would have been 1410 points, which would have given Tech a 43rd-ranked class, bumping Oklahoma State to 44 and Tech’s highest-rated class since the star-studded 2015 class headlined by Breiden Fehoko.

Again, the most impressive part about Matt Wells’ recruiting is the quality of player. No bon-a-fide studs (yet) but pretty much every recruit they are “in” on and even eventually land has a base of 3 stars. I know, I know “Rivals” blah blah blah. But Tech didn’t sign multiple 2-star prospects for the first time since Rivals kept track of rankings in 2003. Which I think will go a long way. Also, we aren't just looking at star-ratings here, it has been well-documented that Wells and Co. are also signing guys that multiple other comparable programs ALSO want. Nice!
 
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